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B52T38

12/05/20 3:42 PM

#131622 RE: tradinplaces #131621

The fatality rate of COVID 19 seems a slippery thing to catch.

Using the WHO website (https://covid19.who.int/), they report the number of current fatalities as 1,513, 179. Coupled with their number of "confirmed cases" - 65,257,767 - this yields a fatality rate of 2.3%.

Pretty darn high!

So maybe by "confirmed cases," they mean people actually admitted to a hospital that tested positive??

Because back in October, a WHO official (Dr Mike Ryan) said that about 10% of the world's population had been infected by the virus. So if we put this number in the denominator, we get a fatality rate of 1,513,179/765 million = 0.19%. (This number is likely lower, considering Dr Ryan made his 10% infection estimate in early October, 2 mths ago).

Regardless, 0.19% is an order of magnitude lower than 2.3%, and it puts the lethality of COVID 19 on par with the 2017/2018 flu season death rate of approx .13%.

Just wonder why there's such a huge variance in the COVID fatality rate.