Re: Netburst Silicon is way cheaper to make than Core 2.
From a purely die size perspective, the single core Cedar Mill processors were ~82mm^2, while Core 2 processors are ~145mm^2 with 4M of cache and ~110mm^2 for 2M of cache. However, the comparison should have been between dual core Presler Netburst microprocessors, which were two ~82mm^2 die in a package, which is slightly better than a single monolithic 145mm^2 die, but probably a bit more in package costs. I'd say the costs are probably equal (and certainly not *way* better).
Re: The gap could close if Intel would continue to make MCP-Quads in 45nm, which is quite expensive.
Two Wolfdale die (at <100mm^2) in an MCM are going to be far, FAR cheaper than a monolithic Barcelona core at ~275mm^2. And even package costs aren't going to bring Intel anywhere near these costs.
Of course, we are talking about 45nm Intel die vs. 65nm AMD die, but that's simply how things will compare in H1 2008, and I'm guessing H2 2008 as well.