and you can’t shut down the world for it..
Are you saying we could shut down the world if the death rate is 1% ?
It's only worth inconveniencing the country if there would be 2.5 million deaths?
Focus on the actual numbers.
Flu related deaths 2019-2020 season in US (7 months) <30K.
CV deaths in 3.5 months > 77K. (Most of which were avoidable if we'd actually shut down for 1 month.) Regardless we're looking at ~200K deaths by end of Sep. definitely NOT regular flu numbers.
Lets assume the ratio of CV cases is diagnosed:actual::1:10.
Sweden (has tested 1.5% of their population) ~25K cases.
The US (has tested 2.5% of population) 1.3mil cases.
Sweden deaths 3,175. 3175/250,000 (at above ratio) = 1.3%
US deaths ~ 78,000. 78000/13000000 (at above ratio) = .6%
With only haphazard sheltering done we've reduced US death rate to half that of a country with responsible citizens but little quarantine.
Rather than stop waffling and impose a strict national quarantine for a month you'd have the US death numbers go up another ~500,000 this year?
(assuming a flat daily death toll at 2100 X days left in year)
At ~580,000 dead by New Year will you still be a 'same as flu' BS spreader?