Replies to post #69899 on Decision Diagnostics Corp (DECN)

[rawman]

Sorry, there is an error in the math. The mortality rate is the number of deaths divided by the total number of diagnosed positive cases (the "denominator"). Given the variables provided, the mortality rate would be calculated to be 3.8%. Last week the mortality rate was trending down and stood 1.5% in the U.S. It has been a bad week for the U.S.!

Of course the number of positive cases (the "denominator") is not close to being accurate, as it does not account for those who have contracted the disease, but never diagnosed as positive. The researchers and statisticians tend to believe the actual U.S. SARS-CoV2 mortality rate will ultimately be in the range of .5% and .9%. By contrast the typical flu season usually sees a mortality rate of .1%

[JMMatthews]

Actually 533k cases and 20.6k deaths puts our present mortality rate at 3.9% (20.6/533 x 100) with 482k active cases (90% still active). Important to recognize that USA is behind Europe by about 2 weeks and sadly these countries already have a death rate over 10%: Italy, Spain, France, England, Belgium, Netherlands https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

The current total number of cases in USA is about 533K. Out of that there is about 51K closed cases out of which 30.5K recovered and 20.5K resulted in death. If I am calculating correctly, this puts mortality rate at 40%.

DECN $$$

[kommisar7]

this calculation is not quite correct ...
because more are infected that show no symptoms and nobody knows anything ...
but I think it can easily be 5% ...
the usa has 330 million inhabitants ...
5% are then about 16 million ...
that would be the worst case that could happen ...