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OldAIMGuy

10/09/19 4:29 PM

#17734 RE: DTGoody #17733

In looking back on my AMTD holding I'm not unpleased with it even with the setback on commissions. I looked to see what Value Line had to say and they don't think it will have that significant an impact on earnings.

I trade around a core position buying from the scared and selling to the greedy. It's worked okay for me for a long time. I've traded various retail brokerages over the years and AMTD is my current holding.


AMTD History
Current Share Count +18.7% from Start
Current Cash in Reserve +8.0% " "
Current Price/Share -7.8% " "
AMTD Holding Value (Stock + Cash) +9.0%


Value Line seems to think AMTD has a 3-5 year appreciation potential of $75 to $115. That equates to a 23% to 36% annualized return. With a trailing P/E of 9.2, current dividend of about 3.5%, a Price/Book Value of around 2.0 it's hard for me to resist adding to my position.

We'll see how all this "free commissions" stuff plays out. My guess is they'll add a little to margin and cut back a bit on interest on cash and won't even notice the change in income/share.

Best regards,
Tom