Simple math for the newbies. Currently fannie has 1.16 billion shares. 2018 annual revenue was 15.6 billion.
1. $15.6 b ÷ 1.16 shares = 13.4 price per share, keep in mind that fnf has a forward PE of 9 to 14 before the crash. So let's be modest and use 9 as a PE. 13.4 Ps x 9 = 121 price per share. This outcome is with no warrants exercise. Including warrants from the G exercised 121 ÷ 5 = 24 ps.
2. Depending on capital structure b4 exit from cship, fnf needs capital buffer to protect taxpayer as per mnuchin. How would they raise idk. But converting preferred to common is far fetch coz most pref are non convertible also dilutes the ps including warrants of gov. Big g don't want that if they want warrants.
3. Recap is faster bec. Of the remaining dta stash.
4. Now, nws is gone, current value I see is lower than 24 but not lower than 13. Gl. Just my too cents and I could be 99% wrong. At the end of the day mnuchin and the gang decides.
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