You won't be in a desperate situation if your model is that accurate. You just have too much biases on your model.
Matter of fact, the more the share price drops the less riskier it becomes, that's the whole point of value investing which you claimed you knew. It's all about the value you are getting, and what you are paying for it.
No one cares about your HERB, so go somewhere to talk about it! That's the whole point. If you want, go talk to someone in private about it, but not here.
Try harder as if you can influence their decisions over a forum, who are you fooling? To us, you just sound like a cry baby.