correct for FCEV passenger vehicles.....
Luckily PLUG isn't targeting that market so lets keep the conversation on our home turf....
Currently 100% of the forecast from the company is dedicated to Material Handling.
Have you worked out the percentage of the $600m commitment that Amazon and Walmart EACH made has actually been delivered?
In order to meet the $600m there is accelerated roll outs so we start shipping 2-3 times as many Distribution/fulfillment centers just for those 2 customers.
Add in new customers/and the replacement of 7 year old systems in existing customers
That will push PLUG to $400m + in Material handling and being GAAP profitable. No issue with H2 supply and price - apart from cost likely to go down as the Fuel cell costs have.
Then there is stationary power back up market - quietly been rolling out GenSure with Southern and Verizon in USA, now CHEM for Africa and other international markets - nothing in the estimates but a mature solution in growing market. I expect forecasts to include this next year i f not before
Only then should an analyst/investor be looking at the more risky business in the newer markets where there are more competitors and every one is in early adopter trials like:
Tethered delivery vehicles - StreetScooter and FedEX trials
Ground Support - partnership with Charlatte -for US market need to be part of wider airport modernization/infrastructure spending except for new airports like Amazons.
TRU's - don't forget how close that was to being the target market before Material Handling volume H2 supply/production is now more common - Air Liquide is provide H2 for Steel mills must be prety large volume per day.
AGV's and Drones - Already have a presence with BMW for factory AGV's, and a technology development agreement with Amazon and now new technology with the acquisition. Plus research into the automated refueling technology/processes.
So I see a great future in PLUG I am not sure why you think they are so badly managed when you look at where they are - EBIDTAS profitable this year and may be GAAP in 2020 certainly 2021 from current market / customers.
(as an aside what under-the-road vehicles are there? I want one since DC traffic is awful!)