Just for a bit of fun and note that any mechanical failure at all will totally delay everything....................
Based on other DQE drilling a rough schedule is averaging 130 meters per day (with no mechanical issues) over a well to TD.
Heron-1 is 3050 meters and so divided by 130m/d would give 24 days to get to TD, prior to initial wireline logging and then initial RNS at say day 30.
Red Deer-1 is 2106 meters and so divided by 130m/d would give 16 days to get to TD, prior to initial wireline logging and then initial RNS at say day 22.
Entering of the Primary Target at Heron-1 should be around 2800m onwards which would equate to day 22 of the drilling. Also secondary targets earlier.
Entering of the Primary Target at Red Deer-1 should be around 1650m onwards which would equate to day 13 of the drilling. Also secondary targets earlier.
Heron-1 spud was 19th July.
Volume spike time - anytime after 10th August. Results RNS after wireline anytime from 19th August.
Red Deer-1 spud ETD 29th July.
Volume spike time - anytime after 11th August. Results RNS after wireline anytime from 19th August.
So, from Monday 12th of August, if we get crazy volume spikes we will not know if its Heron or Red Deer or both.
Enjoy the ride.