Predicting that most small publicly traded companies will eventually fail is easy, useless, and boring!
Predicting how how high they'll trade before they eventually fail is difficult, useful, and impressive!
If you find your success rate better, it's not because you're better at the game! It's because others are metaphorically playing chess while you're playing pin-the-tail-on-the-donkey in a room that's all donkey rump!
If you want to impress us, accurately predict the peak that the current pump will bring us to!...
And try to do better than your laughably bad predictions of UBER and JMDP ;).
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