I agree he won't cut rates. The fed is getting pressed by the Donald for sure. If anything i think we could use another .25-.50 rate increase. The market is right around ATH and the economy is still more than thriving.
A rate hike or 2 to start throwing some money to reduce the national debt would be the best thing to do, rather than sticking with the status quo. They are focused on things like the inflation rate, while the national debt is out of control.
odds 80 no cut but july cut I have said months ago the market rescue would be lowering rates and that would signal the last stages of the bull. But not overnight or immediately. The bull will end on some goofy event. Was it Iceland bankruptcy that started the bull to end last time.
The chart says higher and we are goin higher. I would love to see stats on bull market ending after rate cut.
I still believe (and i maybe wrong too) that Breexit kicking in will kill the bulls. When will Breexit begin after 2020 election.
This would lead to a currency debacle. Markets can not and do ignore currency problems.
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