thinking in bets when everyone is thinking the same thing its probably wrong
first idea is usually weak. throw out an idea or 2 spend some time then the answer will appear. the most successful people have fun at it. they are not the smartest they work to become good.
what are the high percentage trades- long pre market close to pre lows. holding value area low pullback overnight
market going to pre hi or low. defending the open
what are the worst trades- quickly shorting gap. going long in the hole or short in the hole. fading gap unless its the 3rd gap
what are the right questions- balancing - mostly of the time excess break out should be above value bear market odds over 1000-1 against it starting what are the vix and put call ratio and internals saying
think small and don't fear the obvious. being wrong is often correctly throwing out a bad idea. think out loud and write ideas as they appear
the brain wants to use fast thinking on complex ideas. the same thinking that says green light go. Think slow- throw out quick thinking till the answer then flows into your trade and brain
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