Replies to post #48312 on Greenshift Corporation (GERS)

[ice_n_ak]

In my opinion, 110% percent is a tad high. Thinking a more realistic number might be 103% or maybe as high as 106%

[Harry Winston]

GERS' technology has generated many billions, with a B, in revenue for the industry. Without it, many companies wouldn't exist today. It doesn't stop with the oil technology, it never did. The ATIS partnership will jumpstart the other technology the industry desperately needs today. There's no question patent infringement hurt GERS. But the industry truly shot itself in the foot on this. That's the big play here. $100's of millions in back/future royalties are on the line. When GERS' wins, $10.00 per share will look cheap.

I need to repeat something I said at least once before, and very recently, too. Even assuming that Greenshift wins the lawsuit outright, any royalty payments made from the infringing companies to Greenshift will be diluted (from the POV of the shareholders) by the payments that the Greenshift Corporation will have to make to its' own lawyers.

Even that assumption must be questioned. There are a number of ways that the other companies can have a partial legal victory, including a ruling by the Appeals Court that some of the patents belong to the companies that Greenshift considers infringers.

Another event that would hurt the GERS stock price is Kevin's retirement or death, followed by the appointment of a new CEO who is willing to settle the lawsuit instead of fighting it on the grounds that the increasing legal costs of the suit are hurting the company's ability to invest money in new technologies.

If the midwest flooding prevents a large amount of potential corn crop from being planted on time, then the ethanol market will expect a reduced yield. The Greenshift Corporation will expect a low production of any product that is made from the corn plant. The company's revenue will be cut, possibly dramatically, because of the small amount of raw material that would be subject to the processes that Greenshift has patented.

Instead of a $10 stock price for GERS, we could see a sub-$1 price for the rest of this year and well into next year, too, and if the bad weather produces another sparse corn crop, the GERS investors, including the whales, will be eating seaweed for a long time to come.