I agree with everything you said, including your time frames. I would just also add that something little could entice a group to swoop in before that happens and like SFT has said, the volume will come out of no where. The paper being published, the three new docs being announced, a better Q4 than we think, the acquisition or something else could do it.
Buying lately has been almost nonexistent, so imagine a few 20-50 million trade days strung together.