Replies to post #8626 on Aphria Inc (fka APHA)

[twister1]

oh c'mon... easily double and that is in the short term (12 months or less)... there will be 3 to 5 big dogs globally for years to come and we are in the running for one of those positions period.
of course there will be dozens of 2nd tier outfits globally and handfuls of smaller niche/craft companies to succeed.
aphria will be a top tier lead dog global mj company conducting successful business for years to come.
money in the bank

[Rowdy2]

I'll help you out here TaubyTaub...LQMT, below is a valuation for Aphria, provided by one of the Mods on this board, Golferman. Golferman does valuations for a living and kindly provided this last month for the members here to see. Let's us know if you have any questions about the valuation, this is why the price targets on APHA are so much higher than it's current stock price. (Thanks again Golferman)


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Aphria says they will be able to produce in Mid 2019

255,000kg per year
=255,000,000 grams per year

Projected whole sale price per gram is $5.00/ gram

Projected sales gross @ 255,000,000 grams

= $1,275,000,000

All in cost & 1.50/gram

= $382,500,000

EDITBA calculation
$1,275,000,000. - $382,500,000. = $ 892,500,000 (EDITBA)

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Earnings per share EBITDA

Outstanding shares 249,000,000

$892,500,000 / 249,000,000 = $3.58

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Projected share price at 8x EBITDA

= $ 28.64 CDN
= $ 21.03 US

I believe this may be conservative... if Aphria partners with Diageo and more international production occurs the revenue will be higher

GOING TO BE A GREAT GROWTH COMPANY!!!!!

https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/valuation/ebitda-multiple/

https://www.inc.com/guides/2010/10/how-to-understand-earnings-or-ebitda.html

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