Replies to post #18236 on Cel Sci Corporation (CVM)

[lightrock]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte_Carlo_method

Learned a bit about this stuff when I did a DARPA project
Our main dude was The Man of Maximum Relative Entropy

Kinda like running a particle accelerator... I need to make this multi-threaded, takes for ever...

[lightrock]

According to this I was way way off...

Evidently... 283 events is June

The curve totally flattens out. Possibly June 10 to be precise...? <cringe>.

But between 6/4 and 6/26

Maybe this stuff will change once I get it doing the SOC vs. Test groups.

See how the effort number is maximal at the top and bottom and minimal in the middle. aka "signal"

What did you say, October for 298 ?

I'll leave it running for about an hour and search october

Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1943. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5114423. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1944. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5139063. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1945. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5121174. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1946. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5121904. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1947. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5040197. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1948. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5090563. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1949. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5019581. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1950. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5051413. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1951. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5057486. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1952. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5045281. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1953. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5051701. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1954. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5070276. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1955. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5088066. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1956. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5078091. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1957. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5076172. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1958. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5078625. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1959. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5095488. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1960. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5068756. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1961. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5093001. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1962. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5073518. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1963. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5088035. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1964. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5105210. How many times: 1000
Dataset Total: Population. Current Day: 1965. Min. OAS%: 43. Effort to achieve goal of: 283. Effort: 5106911. How many times: 1000