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lightrock

02/06/19 6:39 AM

#18138 RE: lightrock #18134

I don't know how to do the ultimate 3 year OAS comparison

What I did do, I cannot make it to +10%
Unless the response to injections rate is 70%
In P2 it was 42.1%

The "literature" seems to give 5 year OAS numbers, CVM provides 3 year OAS numbers.

You need an absolutely abysmal 5 year like 25% to yield the +/- 47% they claimed was the 3.5 year standard.

Does anything substantial say that the 5 year OAS is 25% or lower? Still, today...

So far, just been looking for when is the expected date(s) and some meaning to that.

Stupid spreadsheets...

The Oncologist 48.9% 5 year OAS + 42% Response Rate tracks with the 2017, and 2018 benchmarks. I'm sure there are other ways to do that...

As stated they will do some funky statistics to finally say if the 10% has been passed or not, but how different can that be from "crude" numbers? 2%? Tops?


Cotton_Farmer

02/06/19 10:48 PM

#18164 RE: lightrock #18134

Lightrock - have you included gender as a variable in your spreadsheet? If not, can you include this variable so one can perform a "what-if" analysis with different gender mix assumptions. Many thanks if you can do this and share.