12/27 update, due to extreme volatility projections are useless until it calms down.
Two levels to monitor, 2250 support and 2603.54. IF 2603.54 is traded above we have a low and 3000/3200 still favored. NOT advancing above 2524 THEN dropping to 2250 we have a top and a major bear market.
Dec 24
12/24 update, Weekly resistance2476/2522 support 2357/2312, daily resistance 2446/2469 support 2387/2364.
Price must return above 2480 this week or it will continue toward 2250 area before any significant bounce.
Ralph Acampora CMT @Ralph_Acampora 41 minutes ago
Market, Part III: In order to say for sure that we've witnessed the final low, I want to see a successful re-test of yesterday's low on heavy volume. Thus, it is too early to say that the current bear market is over. Be very selective.
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$SPX daily since 2016 with 50,3 Bollinger Bands applied to the $SPX XLK XLF XLY symbols on the chart -
* bears remain in firm control while the S&P 500 index net Advance-Decline breadth line and the net Advance-Decline volume line both remain below their daily 50,2 lower Bollinger Band shown on this chart OR while below their 50-day simple moving average
Yesterday’s surge of 4.96% in S&P was one of 20 best days in post-WWII period; unfortunately, vast majority occurred in bear markets with average loss over ensuing year of >15%
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$SPX daily with 63,2 Bollinger Band & with two S&P 500 internals -
* bears remain in firm control while the $SPX price action resides below the daily 63,2 lower Bollinger Band
/ES S&P 500 futures must achieve a lasting hold above 2470 for improved probability of a price advance with staying power ... with 2488 level next potential inflection marker for further lasting upside
( March 2019 /ES contract pricing )
SPY weekly -
* the $OEX to $SPX ratio has improved by a large amount off this week's ratio lows, meaning the 100 largest capitalization size stocks that comprise the $OEX are no longer extremely under performing the 500 stocks included in the $SPX index ... it is prudent to monitor this ratio vs. its location within or outside the ratio's Bollinger Band because of the heavy percentage weighting the $OEX symbol set has upon the price value of the $SPX index