That’s nonsense. How many would be right if they predicted A through Z drugs would fail at trial. Most of them do. Very few succeed past phase 2. Fewer still get to phase 3. Leo and Bertolino have B-OM “Phase 3ready” and are know doubt negotiating a move forward.
Look backward and lament what should or could or might have been if you and others like. I’m choosing to look at the success so far and the likelihood of continued success in the future.