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Adam

12/06/18 10:50 AM

#43346 RE: OldAIMGuy #43343

Hi Tom, Good comments. For us who take advantage to buy on dips the computer algorithmic trading that drives the short term markets is a boon. The only caveat is that algorithmic trading may not cause enough of a dip to trigger AIM buys.

Adam

SFSecurity

12/07/18 2:19 PM

#43357 RE: OldAIMGuy #43343

Hi Tom, While I agree that AI trading is not all that intelligent I don't trust Cramer's ideas for the most part.

Three years ago there was a test done of Cramer's recommendations and mostly they were losers. Of the 49 below, 14 are winners or breakeven the rest are losers.

"Jim Cramer’s 49 stocks recommended six months ago:

Ticker Company Six-month return (4/7/15 - 10/7/15)

FTNT, -3.18% Fortinet Inc. +24.60%
UA, -1.61% Under Armour Inc. +22.54%
PANW, -3.22% Palo Alto Networks Inc. +20.54%
MDLZ, -0.72% Mondelez International Inc. +19.78%
HRL, -1.09% Hormel Foods Corp. +10.38%
DHI, -0.27% D.R. Horton Inc. +9.10%
AZO, +0.16% AutoZone Inc. +6.19%
CI, -3.49% Cigna Corp.
EW, -3.15% Edwards Lifesciences Corp. +4.71%
HUM, -2.11% Humana Inc.
CBRL, -1.71% Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. +1.25%
LB, -3.87% L Brands Inc.
DRI, -2.88% Darden Restaurants Inc.
SJM, -2.71% J.M. Smucker Co.
LEN, +0.05% Lennar Corp. -0.49%
UNH, -2.36% UnitedHealth Group Inc. -0.78%
KR, -1.49% Kroger Co. -1.75%
CVS, -2.81% CVS Health Corp. -2.06%
MNST, -0.10% Monster Beverage Corp. -2.08%
COST, -3.09% Costco Wholesale Corp. -2.52%
US:JAH Jarden Corp. -4.01%
BSX, -3.24% Boston Scientific Corp. -4.92%
PRGO, -3.86% Perrigo Co. -5.22%
AVGO, +0.77% Avago Technologies Ltd. -5.58%
TOL, +1.08% Toll Brothers Inc. -5.89%
ROST, -2.89% Ross Stores Inc. -6.12%
AN, -1.84% AutoNation Inc. -6.37%
MDT, -2.06% Meditronic Plc -8.08%
ADI, -1.94% Analog Devices Inc. -8.48%
DG, -3.22% Dollar General Corp. -8.78%
AGN, -1.83% Allergan Plc -8.99%
CYBR, -1.46% CyberArk Software Ltd. -11.08%
DKS, +2.39% Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. -12.48%
CERN, -1.35% Cerner Corp. -13.22%
SWKS, -2.44% Skyworks Solutions Inc. -13.61%
CAH, -1.06% Cardinal Health Inc. -13.78%
HBI, -2.74% Hanesbrands Inc. -14.32%
MCK, -0.33% McKesson Corp. -16.62%
ABC, -1.77% AmerisourceBergen Corp. -17.52%
KMX, -2.32% CarMax Inc. -19.10%
JACK, -0.29% Jack in the Box Inc. -19.25%
FEYE, -3.41% FireEye Inc. -19.52%
DLTR, -3.14% Dollar Tree Inc. -21.94%
M, -1.76% Macy’s Inc. -24.75%
URBN, -2.74% Urban Outfitters Inc. -29.54%
DDS, -1.70% Dillard’s Inc. -33.59%
CY, -1.80% Cypress Semiconductor Corp. -33.62%
QRVO, -1.12% Qorvo Inc. -37.80%
KSS, -4.01% Kohl’s Corp. -41.11%
Average -7.09%

S&P 500 SPX, -1.53% -3.88%"

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/jim-cramer-loses-big-in-this-stock-picking-test-2015-10-22

I can't locate it at the moment but if I recall correctly another person did a longer term look at Cramer's picks and came up with similar results.