Market Weekend Update - Short Term By: Tony Caldaro | November 17, 2018
At the recent SPX 2671 low the market presented a short term double positive divergence, and a sufficient oversold condition on the daily RSI. On Friday the SPX put in its first higher daily bar since the Minor wave B began. Further signaling that Minor B may have indeed ended at SPX 2671. From that Thursday low we have counted eight waves up, with a possible ninth underway: 2709-2691-2735-2712-2739-2720-2747-2734-2744 so far.
Not expecting any impulsive activity for a counter-trend wave, this choppy overlapping activity looks quite normal. We think it should continue this way into early December. Then the market is likely to rollover heading into the FED’s next rate hike in mid-December. January could be a nasty month to start the year. Short term support is at the 2731 and 2656 pivots, with resistance at the 2780 and 2798 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week just below overbought. Best to your holiday trading.
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