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Hugodrax

07/17/18 2:02 PM

#14732 RE: breewski #14731

Yes DSNY has a $8.8M market cap, is currently cash flow positive, and has $2.05M in cash, or 3.7 cents per share.

With say $1M they could buy back 11% of the stock.

There are a few things they are probably thinking about:

1) It would increase the price and liquidity which would help Steve get more liquidity to fight the company in the lawsuit.

2) They might be thinking "we are so thinly traded now that buying back stock would reduce liquidity even more after the buyback"

3) Fred may have a reason for wanting to hoarde cash - e.g. if the U.S. weakness might be be the start of something deteriorating.

4) DSNY trades 12K shares per day, which is literally like $2K at these prices. May not be practical.


All are valid.

I haven't been tracking the lawsuit but one thing in the back of my mind is that a settlement with Steve might include no cash to him, but agreeing to sell back some or all of his shares back to the company. That may be the end game here and why Fred might be hoarding cash.

Eg. if the stock goes to 10 cents they could pay $2M to Steve in retiring his shares. Although I'm not sure if they can do that from a regulatory standpoint without offering to other shareholders. Rules are complicated on that. Might be a way to structure it.

Of course Steve may be on tilt and irrational so who knows.


There are a few comments i find a bit worrying in the transcript:


"US revenues were flat, where a consistent 5% growth in US independent was offset by decline from one US major customer."

I'm worried that is Universal

"Revenue from our European customers was down 6.7% due to declines from certain of our major Scandinavian and Sweden labels."

Also the word "major" could that be Universal as well?


"The increase in marketing expenses was associated with increased client engagement efforts focused on areas where we've seen some recent declines as I just mentioned."

Hopefully the horse hasn't left the barn here.

Reading between the lines I wonder if Universal and/or other "majors" are starting to move on from PlayMPE???


"Our lack of appropriate investment in Play MPE had strained relationships with customers, hindered our ability to grow and threatened existing revenue, and we've known about this for quite some time."

Universal is 43% of revenue as of last Q, or $396K. That 43% was the same last Q so there is stability for now.

The company should probably sold IMHO. A buyer could probably knock $500K off of G&A and perhaps $300K from sales and marketing. Maybe do earnings of $1.5M or so, sell it for 10x that and you'd have a $0.27 exit, nearly a 2x from here.

Not sure who the buyer would be though.










BlueSkyMining

07/17/18 2:11 PM

#14733 RE: breewski #14731

Hi, I'm liking the conversation at the moment. I've already made that suggestion to Fred re; buyback and if they don't have any cost overhangs for that 2 million, I think using some for a buyback would be a good way to go to reduce the share numbers.

Steve might be resistant to sell his shares to Destiny since he might be in the mood to be on a vindictive path. I would prefer that he let sleeping dogs lie over that because ultimately when he hurts the company he hurts his investors who were loyal to him over many years by buying through his words of optimism over clipstream etc.

Yes, the value is priced appropriately for the revenue and drip increases at the moment but if/when the new build starts producing and is proven to be a game changer in the promotional delivery market, then I think some of the big labels etc will want to buy the company and that is where I'm holding out for the value to greatly increase.