Don't try to time the market...
Think about where you think the stock will be in 6, 12 and 24 months, or however long you expect to hold the investment.
The people who are convince they can time the market have been on the sidelines while the long term investors have been making good money.
If your looking to flip some shares for some fast cash your probably going to get burnt. The $5 quick buck guys are stuck in a trading philosophy that they can't think beyond and haven't made any money with.
Look at some of the other boards like Canopy and Aurora for how they have been making money. Apply that here along with how Aphria investors have been making money, and you'll do fine.
The doom and gloom guys on all the boards have consistently failed to make money, or have made substantially less than the people with a long time horizon. Many think 5yrs is about right as a guess. If you want to be successful follow the people who have a history of success. Your still going to have to spend time on it regularly and have the stones to weather the downturns without selling if your going to win. JMO