I also agree with your middle of the road numbers (1-2 billion). I'm a good bit lower with solid Prurisol results and would be thrilled with 2.5-3.5 with Otezla-like results. Great posts-thank you.
Very good post agree it feels more like a sale then partnership right now. Which makes sense in the big picture for all. Not expecting any crazy numbers unless P results are stellar,maybe a buyout in 7 a share range.
Loved your analysis in post #224109, hated your opinion and guesses.
I believe your guesses are inconsistent with B, P,& k's potential value and IPIX mgmt's stated goal to "maximize value".
I believe your guesses are what you believe buyers would be willing to pay. My belief is that Leo would be unwilling to accept those, what I consider to be, low numbers and, of course, we could both be right.
If no BP is willing to buy IPIX for $10B - $30B, at this $75M mkt cap, as you suggest, then Leo, with 20+ CDAs, IMO, will probably find more value in partnering and that's what I think he'll do.
The bottom line, I believe, is not what BP is willing to pay, but what IPIX is willing to accept, or, to quote WC Fields: “It ain't what they call you, it's what you answer to.”