I dont see it likely that it happens, or I do not see it more probable than not. I invested a very small amount relative to my portfolio because this is like a lotto play to me. So say there is a 70 percent chance that BTCS goes down 90 percent of its value or a 10 percent chance that it mergers and increases 400 percent( i see that reasonable) then I use that knowledge to choose the amount I use, which is small for this one. Because if some big news happens it will go up 100 of percents so you do not and in my opinion should not invest much.