Why does everything have to be so complicated. Why can't they just cancel the NWS, cancel the senior preferred, release form conservatorship and require them to issue a secondary public offer of maybe 1B or so common shares to to generate capital.
Option2 makes sense. You nailed exactly what I was thinking: the TIME aspect is crucial in the POLITICAL equation here. That means that a simple retaining of the NWS payments will build capital but...will it be a fast enough process to avoid a draw from treasury? I'd say that'd be uncertain at best.
I hadn't thought of option2 but it does solve that timing aspect of the political equation. We see zero evidence that DC is interested in option2. I fear congress will slow things down to the point where a draw is a real possibility.
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