I hope I'm right as well! That's why I've stated my assumptions and calculations.
So, if anyone else has anything to add regarding assumptions or calculations, I'm interested. I only know to use the assumptions that: market valuation will not change unless investor sentiment changes, and supply-demand determines stock price so if there are more shares offered the price drops. This is an unusual case of supply-demand in that the shares are offered only to those that are on record as owning shares on October 19.