I agree with you. I think that when the SHTF moment comes, whenever that might be, that all bets will be off. The outcome will not be a good one, but until that happens the charade will continue to play out. Ever how long that might take. I still think something will happen within Trump's Presidential term in office.
I believe depending on the nature of the crisis gold will react violently up or down when the crisis hits and hopefully we see a big break-out move to the upside that will breach some of these range-bound price areas we've been caught in. Time will tell.
Warren Buffet wants everyone to think all is well, but I tend to agree with John Hussman that stock market valuations are way overdone. Hussman calculates valuations above 175% historical norms. Interest rates are where they are for a reason, low growth.