Replies to post #71149 on Blue Diamond Ventures Inc (BLDV)

[GREGG THE GREEK]

.10-.50


BLDV

[tycoonbull]

There has been some excellent DD from others over the past few months, and I've also done my own. Here's some DD I've shared over the months:

On AMS grow facility estimated revenue per year:
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131178959
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131183392

For a 50,000 sq/ft facility, my low estimate is 5,250 lbs per harvest, 4 harvests per year X $1500 wholesale = $31,250,000 per year in revenue.

I'm told my above estimate is inaccurate, namely on harvest count (as it might be more like 6-8 harvests per year since it's an indoor grow facility) and estimated lbs harvested per year. Here's some explanation on that from OCMillionaire:
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133930378

Simple math

1000000 pounds per year for a 50k sq ft

so 6 times larger, we will use a 4 multiple instead

4 million pounds per year

4,000,000 * 1400(the least amount even though Canada is one of the highest per pound quality mj producers)

5.6 billion per year at full scale

@ 30% margins is roughly 1.7 billion NET income

But I was trying to come up with the most pessimistic numbers to gauge the potentially lowest price we will see when AMS funding is secured. Based on my lowest estimate above, with the current OS, value alone (at 1X industry multiplier) puts the stock price right around $.01 -- but when you add the 10X industry multiplier (based on other related MJ company stock prices) and the BLDV price would be about .17 per share.

Many other investors estimate the AMS grow facility could bring in upwards of $180 million per year in revenue, which is very possible, especially consider BLDV has stated its goal is to increase the AMS grow facility from 50,000 sq/ft to 340,000 sq/ft. I have also been informed that the industry multiplier can be closer to 20X per share. Here's my thoughts on PPS if this were the case:
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=132645068
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=132876402

By 2018, revenue is expected to be $150,000,000+ per year from AMS grow facility. [...] and take into account current O/S, at .01 the market cap would only be $47M. Pps at .045 puts market cap right around the company's value at $150,000,000+

Add the industry multiplier (10X - 20X), and you begin to see the more realistic target prices.

At .01 pps the market cap will be: $47,605,868.89

At .03 pps the market cap will be: $142,817570.67

At .1 pps the market cap will be: $476,058,568.90

At .2 pps the market cap will be: $952,117,137.80

At .3 pps the market cap will be: $1,428,175,706.70

Just for giggles, I also mentioned:

While $1 is currently unrealistic, unless BLDV can grow additional retail (i.e. Expand AMS revenue generating capacity, increase to 340,000 acres), it has been mentioned as a possibility.

At $1.00 pps the market cap will be: $4,760,585,689.00

Bottom line, as I have stated in the past:

Once funding is secured, and when it is it'll come out of nowhere and "surprise" everyone, I definitely see BLDV spiking to .01-.03 range.

However, BLDV has many other irons in the fire too. If they successfully implement all their plans over the next year or two, which I'll admit is very optimistic but certainly possible, I think we could be looking at .3 to .5 PPS. But that's a very long term outlook — AMS funding is our first and most near term major catalyst.

Do you own DD, but hopefully this sheds some light on how I got my numbers when I did my DD. :)