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RodeKroet

07/24/17 6:05 AM

#47415 RE: Foose #47414

16-19

speed_of_light

07/24/17 10:26 AM

#47419 RE: Foose #47414

Foose-What changed your opinion?!?

Back in May you dismissed revenue forecasts as worthless..a fool's errand!

I'm glad you now Agree with S_O_L on the value of working up/sharing Revenue Projections!

BTW, I especially appreciated your 2018 projection calling for "2007 revenues plus a 50% growth rate."

I'm also a big fan of picking a high growth rate out of seemingly nowhere and then tacking it on to the previous years' results when I conduct financial analysis.

Personally, though, I was thinking more along the lines of an 83.5872% to 91.7639% pickup in sales for 2018, but that could vary depending on how my "gut" modeling for future turnover evolves over time and in response to dietary fluctuations.

Still, I continue "tweaking" my financial models and will update you accordingly.

GL!



speed_of_light

07/25/17 12:51 PM

#47425 RE: Foose #47414

Foose-Aren't you double counting in Q3 n Q4 forecast?

If you're including an "average" from quarters 1 and 2, then when you say...

for Q3 "...plus all the other stuff: car marketing, fibertyping, DOD contracts, etc.", isn't that already included in the $900k "average" you tossed into the projection?

Same goes for Q4 when you state, "....plus $600,000 for all the other stuff".

Or did you mean to say (which I doubt) there's going to be a humongous pick-up in the sales of "other stuff" for quarters 3 and 4?

And if so, upon what do you base your optimism?

Also, are you confident APDN is getting paid nearly 4 centavos/pound to mark the cotton balls?

If the price of cotton/lb is around 80 centavos, is it logical to assume APDN is able to charge approx 4 centavos, ie, 5% on such a commoditized product?

Thanks!

GL!