InvestorsHub Logo

trader53

06/20/17 2:15 AM

#118935 RE: trader53 #118881

S&P 500 - for Tuesday, June 20, 2017


https://caldaro.wordpress.com/

Monday Update

Posted on June 19, 2017


June is among the worst months for stocks
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131884045

Saturday, 06/03/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stock Market Bracing
For Potentially The Most Explosive Stretch
Of Trading This Year

https://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=74919388

Sunday, 05/07/17
MARKET SNAPSHOT: "Sell in May and Go Away"

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131138607

____________________________________________________________


LONG TERM: Uptrend

A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway

We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+
in the next 2 to 4 years


____________________________________________________________


MEDIUM TERM Uptrend

SHORT TERM: gap up opening then new highs, DOW +144

____________________________________________________________


The market gapped up at the open today,
rallied to a new all-time high of SPX 2454,
then pulled back slightly into the close.

With today’s rally past SPX 2446
it appears Minute wave v,
despite the lagging NDX/NAZ,
is extending.

Counting from the SPX 2416 Minute wave iv low
we now see three waves up:
2444-2419-2454 so far.

This suggests the OEW 2479 pivot
is now within the upside range
of this ongoing uptrend.

Short term support
is at the 2444 and 2428 pivots,
with resistance at the 2456 and 2479 pivots.

Short term momentum
hit extremely overbought today,

then backed off some.


Best to your trading!

Trade what’s in front of you!










S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly)



S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily)










































































Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037

LONG TERM: uptrend

This week let’s look at the big picture.
The very big picture.


While published data on the US stock market
only began in the year 1885,

we have been able to piece together,
using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles,
how the US market would have looked
from the early 1700’s.

As an emerging growth economy
the US would have not looked anything like
the European markets
that do have stock market data going back that far.
That data was not considered.

From around the year 1700 to 1929
the US experienced a 200+ year
grand super cycle bull market GSC 1

The 1929-1932 crash,
when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value,
ended GSC 2

While short in time
the crash made up for it in price damage.


A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low.

Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately:
SC1 1700-1770
SC2 1770-1776
SC3 1776-1850
SC4 1850-1857
SC5 1857-1929


Within the current GSC 3
there have been two completed super cycles,
with the third underway:
SC1 1932-2007
SC2 2007-2009
SC3 2009-xxxx


Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.


Within each super cycle bull market
there are five Cycle waves.

SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows:
C1 1932-1937
C2 1937-1942
C3 1942-1973
C4 1973-1974
C5 1974-2007


Notice the Cycle wave bull markets
can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years.


Also note, no matter the wave degree
the bear markets are always much shorter in time
than the bull markets.





Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years,
this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080.





http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1