Replies to post #6091 on Celsius Holdings Inc (CELH)

[Altitrade Partners]

The last four quarters have produced the following revenues numbers: a $6.2 million quarter, followed by a $6.7 million quarter, followed by $6.3 million quarter, and now a $6.0 million quarter.

The bottom line is that growth has slowed considerably, and that is cause for concern from a valuation standpoint.

Looking at sequential revenue growth of 8% in Q3 2016, (-7.3%) in Q4 2016 and (-4.7%) in Q1 2017 we do not view that as being able to adequately justify CELH's high growth multiple.

When we look back, this represents a far cry from the days when Celsius was seeing revenues growing at 26% to 35% sequentially as they did in Q3 and Q4 of 2014.

Furthermore, the company is operating without a full-time CEO and it appears that International growth from Mainland China is at least a 2018 story, if at all.

[NewJerichoMan]

Your DCA is a weee bit south of mine. Growth has already shown itself stalled. Don't expect we see $30M in net revenues in 2017.

Saving grace here is strong hands and the uplist.

I think we're pricing off a $175M market cap.

I suspect the insiders calculated this number back when the capital raise began back in December. They probably had already applied for the uplist or, at least, were about to. They know about the capital structure (convertible preferreds and options). I think that's why we float around $4 today and will likely until the official announcement of the uplist.




This is why I think a nice exit point will be just prior to uplist. Share prices often surge into an uplist. Probably will surpass $4.50 and a $200M market cap. For me, the game plan is to ride the coming wave and then reassess after the crash.