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DewDiligence

04/14/17 11:48 AM

#210620 RE: WorstLuck #210618

Re: ABT-ALR /SI charity contest

ABT's FDA warning yesterday regarding the STJ plant presumably increased the impetus for ABT to settle with ALR. Although I already thought an ABT-ALR settlement with a reduced buyout price was likely (e.g. #msg-130214843), announcing the deal now helps ABT by diverting attention from the STJ mishap.

If ABT had refused to settle and ended up being ordered by the Delaware Chancery Court to pay ALR the original $56/sh buyout price, it would've been an humiliating 1-2 punch, and ABT's reputation for M&A would've been notably tarnished.

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As far as the SI charity contest is concerned, the ALR buyout may be less helpful than I had thought. With the deal expected to close in late 3Q17, it may come too late for the reallocation of the ALR cash proceeds to add much leverage to the other picks in my contest portfolio.
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DewDiligence

04/14/17 12:37 PM

#210624 RE: WorstLuck #210618

ABT/ALR joint PR on new buyout deal @$51/sh:

http://abbott.mediaroom.com/2017-04-14-Abbott-and-Alere-Amend-Terms-of-Merger-Agreement

The $51 amended buyout price is 9% less than the original buyout price of $56, but it’s still a 38% premium to ALR’s closing price on 1/29/15—the last trading before the announcement of the original deal on 2/1/16 (#msg-120217001). The nominal deal value is $5.3B. The merger is expected to close late in 3Q17.