InvestorsHub Logo

fuagf

03/30/17 12:12 AM

#267419 RE: fuagf #267418

Autor! Autor!

March 6, 2011 10:55 am March 6, 2011 10:55 am

A further note on brains and jobs .. http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/05/falling-demand-for-brains/ : the story I told in my whimsical magazine piece .. http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F06E4D9173CF93AA1575AC0A960958260&pagewanted=all .. bears a clear family resemblance to the influential analysis of Autor, Levy, and Murnane .. http://econ-www.mit.edu/files/569 .. a few years later, which argued that the crucial difference in terms of possible replacement of humans by machines was one of routine versus non-routine, rather than white-collar versus blue-collar, and that computerization was if anything likely to increase demand for some “low-skill” occupations and reduce demand for some traditionally well-paying white-collar jobs:



I’d not, by the way, that it increasingly looks as if “medical diagnosis” should be moved from the right column to the left.

And you can actually see this happening in the data. From the recent Autor-Acemoglu paper .. http://www.nber.org/papers/w16082 :



In the 80s, the higher the skill required for an occupation, the bigger the employment gains. In the 90s, there was “hollowing out”, with the middle-skill occupations losing relative to both ends. And most recently, the hollowing seems to have spread further up the scale.

This is real, and it calls some of our favorite platitudes into question.

https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/06/autor-autor/

JimLur

03/30/17 6:39 AM

#267423 RE: fuagf #267418

$365,694,500,000: U.S. Merchandise Trade Deficit With China Hit Record in 2015

(CNSNews.com) - The merchandise trade deficit that the United States ran with China in 2015 hit a record high of $365,694,000,000, according to data released Friday by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

“The deficit with China increased $22.6 billion to $365.7 billion in 2015,” the BEA said in a press release. “Exports decreased $7.5 billion to $116.2 billion and imports increased $15.1 billion to $481.9 billion.”

The $22,615,700,000 increase in the merchandise trade deficit the U.S. ran with China last year was a 6.6-percent jump from the $343,078,800,000 merchandise trade deficit the U.S. ran with China in 2014.

The merchandise trade balance deals only with the goods that are imported and exported between the two countries. It does not include the export and import of services.

In recent years, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the U.S. has run a surplus in its exchange of services with China, while running a much larger deficit in its exchange of goods.

In 2014, for example, the U.S. ran a $28.077 billion surplus in services traded with China, according to BEA. That caused the overall 2014 U.S. goods-and-services trade deficit with China—which was $315.116 billion—to be less than the 2014 merchandise trade deficit of $343,078,800,000.

The BEA is scheduled to release the 2015 balance of trade in services with China (and other countries) on March 4.

The Census Bureau has published U.S.-China export and import numbers on goods going back to 1985. During the past thirty years, the annual value of U.S.-China trade has risen dramatically. So, too, has the gap between the value of the Chinese goods imported into the U.S. and the U.S. goods exported to China.

In 1985, according to the Census Bureau, the U.S. exported $3.8557 billion in goods to China and imported 3.8617 billion back—running a deficit of only $6,000,000.

By 1995, the U.S. was exporting $11.7537 billion from China while importing $45.5432 billion—running a deficit of $33.7895.

By 2005, the U.S. was exporting $41.1920 billion to China while importing 243.4701 billion from China—running a deficit of $202.2781 billion.

In 2015, the Census Bureau reported Friday, the U.S. exported $116.1863 in goods to China while importing $481.8808 billion—running a merchandise trade deficit with China of $365.6945 billion.

Even when the historical annual merchandise trade deficits that the U.S. has run with China are adjusted for inflation and put in constant 2015 dollars using the Bureau of Labor Statistics inflation calculator, the $365.6945 billion merchandise trade deficit the U.S. ran with China last year is still the largest recorded by the Census Bureau.

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/365694500000-merchandise-trade-deficit-china-hit-record-2015