It seems likely to me they will try to run the price up with great news PRIOR to the RS. The PR says it may happen any time after 20 days. It does not say it will happen in 20 days. SO ask yourself WHY they would announce a RS with 2 PRs?
depends on how they play the dilution after the RS...if they relentless dump conversions into the bid, this will drop quickly; despite how much of the current float is locked. If they are done or dilute "responsibly", then it was a genius move, juevos of steel, but no way to confirm.