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THREE-DAY-TRADER

12/08/16 4:07 PM

#611 RE: StockBull #610

APHB should have bounced Nov 21 from .63 when first initiated it as a trade.
My usual metrics-criteria that have worked reliably in the past indicated it as a buy signal then, and you may see in chart that day it spiked to .72 approx, then crashed. It has done that 3x now as of today, where it has had attempts to short rally, but are very short lived. In contrast to past chart history, APHB has had better bounces and frequencies of movements for more reliable trading short term trading off of new lows every 1-2 months (while noting longer term downtrend).
Even the news Monday (12/5) had no affect, which adds to the bad signs here yet on this stock. In past it has spiked big on that type of data catalyst.
Just an unusual peculiarity with this stock. It's also a reason to let it go. We Gave it plenty of chance, more than we should have actually.

Next yr I won't fall victim to this type. I'll apply a stop-loss on certain risks and won't trade this type after mid-November to avoid tax loss selling affect.

I also wanted APHB to bounce. And I really needed another good notch on my record, too.
But hang in there, I'm certain we'll be fine from hereon.

FYI ~~ I alerted a new trade wiht a 3x fund (on private e-mail) in late afternoon today with 30-40 min before market close.
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THREE-DAY-TRADER

12/08/16 7:42 PM

#612 RE: StockBull #610

And don't beat yourself down about APHB. It's part of trading (losses happen sometimes).
You did good to sell half on yesterday's spike to .50s-.61 area. It turned out to be wise to scale-out and take some risk off of the table.
You make the point that no one really knows when best spot to sell is, so you did right thing, especially given the risk of APHB in recent weeks.
So take your licks (with me) & move on from here.

The P-SAR which I mentioned yesterday that flipped bullish on 12/7 already reversed to bearish today on 12/8 (WTF!!!!)--- FYI.
If you look back at chart history over a couple years, that one day 'dot' flip and back to bearish on the P-SAR is very unusual and practically never happened before on APHB.
That's an additional bearish sign and strange anomaly & peculiarity to add to what I was discussing here earlier.
I am not over emphasizing the P-SAR indicator as a must happen qualifier, but pointing it out in relevance to all the bad signs here.

Maybe-Maybe it'll pop after we're out of it (nobody knows 100%), but the signs of more bearishness risk are certainly strong, & we're justified to move onward from this.





5 Months {as of 12/8/16}
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1.6 Years {as of 12/8/16}
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