Replies to post #5219 on Chesapeake Energy Corp (CHK)

[Crusen]

Ok, now you're citing a specific paper which does not support the conclusions you draw from it.

The paper does not say what you are saying it does. Or it's about 50/50. Some of the content matches your claims.

About 50% of your post, including several major conclusions are not supported however.

[birdguy]

One thing you need to consider is that just because we had a late winter arrival that does not mean that we will have a late spring arrival. That kind of forcasting falls into the best guess camp of all the weather forcasters. I do know that the nat gas that I did not burn in Oct and Nov is not going to be made up. I live in a cold northern climate and the North American weather is just now getting to normal, not below normal. Out of curiosity I pay attention to several weather forcasters and the national weather service and none of them are forcasting a much colder winter than normal.

At the same time they are all just giving us their best guess and I suspect that their long term average is probably about 50% or less.

Warmer or colder than normal weather for a localized area (i.e. the Russian tundra, northern North America, etc) do not mean anything in the long term context of global warming. You simply have to believe the majority of good scientists, or not believe them, but going by some dudes you tube video means you do not know what a true scientist is. Being a weatherman does not make a person a scientist.

Birdguy