The fact that the weekly 50/200 Natgas chart death crossed last year was the reason it hit sub $2.00. The weekly chart is in a MUCH more bullish position this time reaching for the golden cross into 2017. May not see sub $2.00 for a Long time
Cash has already dropped to 2.03. That is not going to be conducive to increasing rig counts. La Nina should remain steady nothing like last years El Nino setup. I am thinking when the weather pattern changes December going to be quick. Until then a bottoming process.