Impulse Wave 1 - The Accumulation Stage the Wave right after a prolonged downtrend.
Wave 1
The stock makes its initial move upwards. This is usually caused by a relatively small number of people that all of the sudden (for a variety of reasons, real or imagined) feel that the price of the stock is cheap so it’s a perfect time to buy. This causes the price to rise.
Wave 2 - Stock Declines
At this point, enough people who were in the original wave consider the stock overvalued and take profits. This causes the stock to go down. However, the stock will not make it to its previous lows before the stock is considered a bargain again.
Wave 3
This is usually the longest and strongest wave. The stock has caught the attention of the mass public. More people find out about the stock and want to buy it. This causes the stock’s price to go higher and higher. This wave usually exceeds the high created at the end of Wave 1.
Wave 4
Traders take profits because the stock is considered expensive again. This Wave tends to be weak because there are usually more people that are still bullish on the stock and are waiting to “buy on the dips.”
Wave 5
This is the point that most people get in on the stock, and is mostly driven by hysteria. You usually start seeing the CEO of the company on the front page of major magazines as the Person of the Year. Traders and investors start coming up with ridiculous reasons to buy the stock and try to choke you when you disagree with them.
This is when the stock becomes the most overpriced. Contrarians start shorting the stock which starts the ABC pattern.
The entire Wave is up as it moves from the lower left to the upper right of the chart.
Waves 1,3 and 5 are impulse waves because they move with the trend.
Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves because they move against this bigger trend.
A basic impulse advance forms a 5-Wave sequence.
Wave 1
The stock makes its initial move upwards. This is usually caused by a relatively small number of people that all of the sudden (for a variety of reasons, real or imagined) feel that the price of the stock is cheap so it’s a perfect time to buy. This causes the price to rise.
Wave 2
At this point, enough people who were in the original wave consider the stock overvalued and take profits. This causes the stock to go down. However, the stock will not make it to its previous lows before the stock is considered a bargain again.
Wave 3
This is usually the longest and strongest wave. The stock has caught the attention of the mass public. More people find out about the stock and want to buy it. This causes the stock’s price to go higher and higher. This wave usually exceeds the high created at the end of Wave 1.
Wave 4
Traders take profits because the stock is considered expensive again. This Wave tends to be weak because there are usually more people that are still bullish on the stock and are waiting to “buy on the dips.”
Wave 5
This is the point that most people get in on the stock, and is mostly driven by hysteria. You usually start seeing the CEO of the company on the front page of major magazines as the Person of the Year. Traders and investors start coming up with ridiculous reasons to buy the stock and try to choke you when you disagree with them.
This is when the stock becomes the most overpriced. Contrarians start shorting the stock which starts the ABC pattern.
because they have to Cover their "Short Positions" !
* They lose money as the stock climbs !
* Your Buying, Forces them to Buy,
and their Buying, causes the stock to Climb Higher !
The possibility of a "Short Squeeze"
Short Squeeze - What it is:
A short squeeze occurs when the stock's price doesn't decline as anticipated.
A short squeeze is a situation in which a stock's price increase triggers a rush of buying activity among short sellers.
Short sellers must buy stock to close out their short positions and cut their losses, which results in a further increase in stock prices, which compel still more short sellers to cover their positions.
The possibility of a "short squeeze" is one reason some analysts look at a high amount of short interest as a Bullish Indicator.
Short Interest is the fuel, performance is the fuse, says ShortSqueeze.com
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