Replies to post #41962 on Canopy Growth Corp (WEED)

[stoner422]

If they are selling medical right now (Bedrocan) for $5 a gram there's no way that they can wholesale for $4 to a Pharmacy or dispensary if those two places are indeed going to be in the mix of sales outlets. $3 bucks I think would be tops in my opinion. Retail sales could be higher but I don't believe the retail price is going to exceed $10 bucks a gram which if priced to high is going to leave room for black market weed. I think the average price per gram right now in Colorado is $10 or a little under for recreational. At $10 bucks a gram maybe the wholesale would be higher maybe $7, not sure. I know the standard markup in the gift industry is 100%, meaning if an item costs $5 bucks from the supplier then it's marked up to $10 for retail. The book market is at an even higher discount for wholesale. Once you start getting into a chain of Grower to Wholesaler to Retailer you're talking even smaller returns for the Grower.
Using your estimate of 200 grams at your estimate of $4 per gram is still $32 million for two harvests of 20K plants each time. Unless I'm doing my math wrong I don't see how CGC is going to control 20% of a 10 billion dollar market once rec gets here without doing some major expansions and acquisitions. Maybe someone can enlighten me on that.

[MMPRuser]

these estimates where you have 20,000 plants is complete BS to start with, maybe thats what they want to do in the future to increase plant density and overall performance - but - 20,000 plants in 350,000 sq ft would be 17.5 sq ft per plant not including any room for walking or corridors for moving things - if that was just pure cannabis, 20k plants - be 17.5 sq ft per plant = a little over 4 ft squared = each plant would be aligned in a grid formation set about 4 ft center to center from eachother

have you seen the pictures from DNA? I say there are 10,000 plants maximum

https://www.instagram.com/p/BKOEAEqAc08/?taken-by=dna_genetics

those plants are set more than 4 ft from eachother - I say they are already approaching 8 ft tall, this is not a maximum density grow, they can do a lot better, this is just a trial run