things were actually not far more uncertain back then. ppl expected the alpha to work more or less properly and that field tests/trial with a beta HANDHELD device would start in some months back then and ppl had every reason to believe so. i remember ppl posting on here "beta no later than july (2015)" lol. that was the time when the sp was trading in the 35 cents usd range...
now they do not even have a handheld device ready for field testing. in fact they still have nothing ready for field testing. furthermore houndlabs is ahead in the game like almost a year i would say. they tested their HANDHELD device for 6 (!) months in the field.