InvestorsHub Logo

FUNMAN

08/12/16 10:41 AM

#1754 RE: Jld3294 #1753

Energy Focus's (EFOI) CEO James Tu on Q2 2016 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Aug. 11, 2016 11:41 PM ET| About: Energy Focus, Inc. (EFOI)
Q2 2016 Earnings Summary

Energy Focus, Inc. (NASDAQ:EFOI)

Q2 2016 Earnings Conference Call

August 11, 2016, 11:00 AM ET

Executives

Marcia Miller - CFO

James Tu - Executive Chairman, President and CEO

Analysts

Colin Rusch - Oppenheimer

Amit Dayal - Rodman & Renshaw

Mark Miller - Benchmark

Nate Mitchell - FBR

Craig Irwin - ROTH Capital Partners

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Energy Focus Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Call. Today’s conference is being recorded.

At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Marcia Miller. Please go ahead.

Marcia Miller

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us for Energy Focus second quarter 2016 earnings conference call.

Today, James Tu, our President and CEO, and I will report on our results for the quarter. Michael Port our Corporate Controller who will take up as Interim CFO is also with us today. The news release and our quarterly report filed on Form 10-Q have been posted to our website under the Investors Section.

As a reminder, today’s discussion will include forward-looking statements, including predictions, expectations, estimates or other information that might be considered forward-looking. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. We encourage you to review our most recent filings with the SEC including our 10-Q and 10-K for a complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock. We are not obligating ourselves to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements in light of new information or further events.

Now, I’d like to turn the call over to James.

James Tu

Thanks Marcia and good morning, everyone. As you have seen from our press release, the second quarter of 2016 has marked with both challenging financial results and continuing progress in stabilizing our military business while growing our commercial business.

Our sales came in below our guidance due to a combination of factors that we believe are transitional in nature. First, our military sales at $3.8 million were roughly equal to our first quarter military sales relevant than the higher levels we originally expected.

During the quarter, we undertook a necessary and strategic move to renegotiate our contract with our exclusive distributor. So they are now required to maintain certain level of inventory. By doing so, with the continuing recovery of purchases from the navy ships, we can gradually reduce their inventory to a level that is expected to provide more stable quarterly military sales for the remainder of the year.

Second, during the process of augmenting our logistics operations, we've discovered an operating error that resulted in some product being manufactured in a manner that did not follow our internally determined process for this product.

As we said in the press release the error surrounds mainly a tender for our internal manufacturing process requested by some customers and do not relate to any safety or performance issue.

We voluntarily took the action to income-affected customers about the issue, which resulted in taking back products and issuing credits to these customers for approximately $814,000.

We have evaluated and are implementing improvements to our sales, supply chain and manufacturing processes. We are also enhancing our communications with our customers regarding their purchase requirements and are implementing internal processes to ensure that our inventory fulfillment is in line with those needs.

Third, a few of our commercial projects was approximately $1 million mainly from the public sector were delayed. As we have repeatedly said, contract timing is a factor we cannot effectively predict and control. That said, we are working to build a stronger sales pipeline to offset such risks going forward.

In the meantime despite of the short term financial challenges we have experienced over the past two quarters, we continue to make exciting progress in business development and new account generation.

[color=blue]With respect to our military maritime business, we are extremely happy to announce that after few quarters of due diligence and testing, the Royal Canadian Navy has placed their first order with us.

While the initial order size is modest, we believe that it did not trade our competitive advantage in retrofitting the Canadian Navy fleet with our military products.

Serving the LED lighting needs of the country's navy is both an honor and an ultimate testament of our product's performance and quality. And we're excited to be entering the Canadian market by first supplying our product to the Canadian Navy.

During the quarter, we also received additional orders from the Australian Navy and retrofitted eight additional shipments for the military come in where Energy Focus continues to be the dominant LED lighting supplier.

With respect to our commercial business, we are paying several marquee accounts including a national footwear retail chain with 1250 stores, a Midwest-based family owned shoe retail chain with 150 stores.

Three of the top 10 largest universities in the U.S. located in Florida, Ohio and Minnesota, as well as an Ivy League University.

In addition, we retrofitted a number of profit building of 10 federal state and local government agencies and 21 public school districts. We're particularly excited to see the higher education markets led by large universities with strong sustainability programs prior to open up.

In addition, we're very excited to report that in July we received our first order from the largest membership-only warehouse club in the United States to retrofit the [house] area of their 600-plus stores.

Again working directly with this high-profile Fortune 50 client, we're able to provide them with their choice as the most compelling LED lighting solution against incumbent lighting brands.

And in healthcare, we received our first order from Fortune 50 healthcare service company to retrofit their 120-plus distribution center as well as from the National Institute of Health

These orders follow our retrofit of the National Cancer Institute in the first quarter. With these wins and on top of the continuous sales to the Northeast Ohio Hospital system, which completed these retrofit of another 13 buildings during the quarter we're clearly on our way to achieve our goal of becoming the LED lighting company of choice for the healthcare industry.[/color]

These leading public and private enterprises choose to work with Energy Focus because of our superior proven product that we believe provide the best return on investment on a long-term basis.

We also believe that these enterprises appreciate and recognize the critical importance of following with the leading LED Lighting Technology company like Energy Focus.

Through this partnership we've demonstrated our dedication to educating, analyzing and helping our customers implement LED lighting product and solutions quickly and in an impactful fashion, so they can achieve their targeted goal.

We believe that the growing list of enthusiastic clients will continue to expand in the coming quarters, as the initiative intensify across the upper echelon of the public and private sectors.

Furthermore during the second quarter, we added 16 contracting and installation partners who we refer to as Intra World Partners or IWP. The total number of IWPs reached 35 at the end of second quarters. These IWPs can be significant contributors to our sales and growth efforts as they have the potential to lead the large recurring orders, although not every one of them they are the best luck of our continuing growth.

As they either use substantial amount of our products in their facilities or specify our product in the project they're involved with. On product development, our global engineering teams continue to move forward with developing new product offerings for our customers.

In addition to new product unveiled during last year in late April by the end of this year we expect to have an extensive income sized portfolio of high quality LED lighting products that cover an overwhelming maturity of lighting needs for both interior and exterior retrofit. We will make specific announcement as we launch these new product line.

Another key initiative we undertook during the second quarter and into the third quarter is strengthening our senior leadership. As we will be announcing within the next week also, we have just hired our Senior Vice President of Marketing, Jennifer Deutsch, who brings with her exceptionally strong global brand building and management experiences, for an extensive range of B2B and B2C businesses, including a number of globally well known brands.

With our initial success in these vertical, we have focused on over the past few years, now is the time for us to substantially upgrade and expand our marketing campaign for both brand building and degeneration within these key verticals.

In the meantime, we're continuing the process of interviewing candidates for additional Senior Leadership positions including a CFO and Senior Sales Leader and we expect this process to continue over the next few months, as we seek world-class professionals in this key discipline to complete the initial line-up of our new leadership team.

And as we also announced today through an 8-K filings our Board of Directors have appointed Ron Black, previously our Lead Director and our current CEO of Rambus Cooperation is our now Executive Chairman of the Board effective immediately.

Three years ago in addition to the Chairman role I took on the road of CEO of Energy Focus to initiate a restructuring and repositioning CEO of the company. These efforts resulted in our rapid penetration into the U.S. Navy fleet and our early wins in select commercial verticals such as healthcare and retail.

As the economies of LED lighting retrofit have significant improved and government and business institutions are now driving fuller with the Sun TV clearly initiative and our reputation, Energy Focus is going through another method multiples to elevate our level of competency and execution to take advantage of this market and to leverage our early successes in these targeted vertical.

We appointed Ron as our Chairman to oversee matter and to provide me and the company's Senior Leadership Team with greater opportunities to benefit from his experience while improve our focus on ensuring that we are executing our plans to optimum growth.

Ron has been a highly successful leader and exchange agent in the high-tech industry over the past two decades and we very much appreciate his elevated commitment to Energy Focus.

In closing, I would like to again express gratitude to all our employees for working together during the past during two financially challenging quarters as we went through some growing pain. Now unlike all this positioning few years ago we are now resetting the company for growth ahead.

While our large accounts take quarters or even years to fully develop, as we continue to win new markets and IWP account and expand our sales force, our sales pipeline and commercial sales are expected to grow in the third quarter and beyond.

For the first quarter as we layout in the earnings release we are focusing sales to range between $8 million to $10 million. Again as we have said, the first focus we’ll provide is the rise on our current outlook of our sales pipeline and is subject to project planning change.

Before I turn the call to Marcia, on behalf of the whole company, I would like to thank Marcia for stepping up to the CFO position more than a year ago to help us improve our finance operation and build our financial team.

Her professionalism and dedication to our company over the past four years of her tenure are exemplary and wish her the best in her future prospects.

Now I would to turn the call to Marcia to talk further about our financial.

Marcia Miller

Thank you, James. Net sales for the second quarter were $7.1 million down 56% compared to the second quarter of 2016. The current year's quarter included a reduction in revenue of $814,000 to assess the return of commercial products and related discount and product sold during the fourth quarter of 2015 and the first quarter of 2016.

We determine that certain shipments during those timeframes did not comply with our process to assemble finished products in accordance with the applicable standards for those orders.

The operational errors did not relate to safety or quality of the product, but to conform with the manufacturing standards represented with respect to the product. We also recorded an adjustment to inventory and cost of sales for $221,000 for the return product and to write down the value of products remaining in inventory at June 30, 2016, to the applicable standard cost.

In total, the adjustment resulted in an increase to our net loss by $593,000 or $0.05 per share for the quarter. We have evaluated and are implementing and prudent to our sales, supply chain and manufacturing processes, will also enhance in communication with our customers regarding their purchasing requirement and have implemented internal processes to ensure that our inventory performance is in line with those needs.

We have estimated an amount of the potential credits for the remaining effective customers and determine that the impact is not likely to be material.

Net sales of our military maritime products decreased $10.3 million or 73% compared to the prior year's second quarter.

As we said in our press release, we've strategically amended our contract with our military product distributor, so we can obtain and maintain on more stable quarterly sales run rate of our military imperative products for the rest of the year and Energy Focus remains the only approved provider of revenue estimate.

Commercial product sales as reported, increased 54% from the prior year second quarter excluding the $814,000 revenue reduction. Commercial sales increased 92% from the prior year’s quarter.

For the quarter, commercial sales represented 46% of net sales while military maritime products comprised 54% of net sales. This shift in product mix resulted in gross margins of 35.4% a decline of 10.4 points from the second quarter of 2015 where military maritime products represented 87% of our total sales.

Additionally, adjustment to sales and cost of sales I spoke of earlier decreased gross profit by $592,000 or 3.8 basis points. We expect that our gross margins would decrease from the levels we saw in 2015 at sales of commercial products became a bigger part of our total sales, but we do expect some to increase somewhat in the third quarter of 2016 due to the absence of the revenue and inventory adjustments that occurred in the second quarter.

Operating expenses of $6.4 million increase by $2.2 million from the prior year’s second quarter, the majority of which was due to higher SG&A expenses.

Sales commissions increased approximately $373,000 compared to the prior year's second quarter as we changed our selling relationship for our military maritime products for the U.S. navy effective October 1, 2015. Under this new relationship, we began using an outside sales representative who earns a commission on these sales rather than purchasing them at distributor pricing.

Higher spending across a variety of areas, including consulting services, stock-based compensation, severance cost, network and software cost, legal and trade show expenses contributed to the majority of the increase from the prior year.

At the end of the second quarter, we had about 40 sales, marketing and sales support personal, which is about the same number we had at the end of the first quarter. This compares to 25 at the end of the second quarter of 2015.

We had about a 123 full time employees worldwide at the end of June, which is consistent with the first quarter and the fourth quarter of 2015. The number of personnel is expected to increase during the third quarter and we've already added -- will have scheduled start dates for about a 1,000 people since June 30, the majority of whom are in sales and marketing.

Due to the operating loss incurred in the quarter and after the application of the annual limitation under Section 382 of the internal revenue code, we’ve recorded no provision for U.S. federal income taxes and have a full valuation recorded against our deferred tax assets.

The net loss for the quarter was $3.9 million or $0.34 per share compared to net income of $2.1 million or $0.21 per share in the prior year’s second quarter.

Net sales for the first half of 2016 of $16.6 million decreased 46% from the prior year’s first half. While sales of our commercial products doubled from the prior year, our military management product sales decreased 69%.

The gross margin for the first half was 36.4% of net sales compared to 43.7% in the prior year's half with the decrease being primarily attributable to a change in product mix between commercial and military management product sales.

The net loss for the first half was $5.9 million or $0.51 per share compared to net income of $3.2 million or $0.32 per share in the prior year.

In regard to the balance sheet, cash decreased $4.7 million during the second quarter to $25.4 million at June 30. The decrease was primarily due to the net loss and an increase in net inventory of $3.1 million to meet the demand principally for our commercial products, which has been slower than the anticipated.

We don’t expect inventory levels to rise much if at all during the third quarter, but that is dependent upon sales level as the majority of inventory has long lead times and most of the purchasing of these items have already taken place for the quarter.

The accounts receivable balance was $5.2 million at June 30, 2016, compared to $6 million at the end of the first quarter. The sales outstanding was 32 days at June 30 compared to 29 at March 31.

As we have said during our last few quarterly calls, our operating expenses are expected to continue to grow as we're planning to stay the course to build business development infrastructure and strengthen our management team as we seek to grow commercial product sales.

This Monday, August 15, will be my last day with Energy Focus and I leave the company in the very capable hands of Michael Port, our Corporate Controller as he takes over as Interim CFO until a new CFO is brought on Board.

It's been my pleasure and honor to work with James and the rest of the leadership team and I am grateful for the opportunity to have served as the company's CFO.

With that, I’ll turn the call back to the operator for questions. Ron, can assist us with that?

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

Yes indeed. [Operator Instructions] And we’ll take our first question from Colin Rusch from Oppenheimer. Please go ahead

Colin Rusch

Thanks so much guys. As you look at the guidance for the third quarter and the new contract with your distributor, how much of that guidance is actually sell in to get inventory levels up to the range that you need them to be in, offer them to have them minimum.

James Tu

Well, there was a level of inventory that they need to maintain over the course of the contract and we have eliminated that and instead we're selling them a fixed number in the next two quarters and so to help them remove the inventory as much as possible. So that is really the strategy as opposed to requiring them to maintain that inventory.

Colin Rusch

Okay. That's actually helpful in terms of clarity…

James Tu

Yes.

Colin Rusch

Go ahead.

James Tu

No, I was going to say that the whole strategy is to start stabilizing the whole military sales. So it wouldn't be a volatile factor of quarterly results. As we have said in the reporting that we're still the only approved provider for the U.S. navy shift to retrofit that for the plan. So the total market is still the same. It has never changed over the past few quarters, our sales fluctuate.

So the strategy is to resolve that inventory requirement. So we wouldn't be in the fast -- same type of situation. These are same situations going forward.

Colin Rusch

Perfect. Okay, and then with this manufacturing glitch or excursion, can you talk little bit about how you found it and how quickly it took to resolve?

James Tu

So I can talk a little bit about it and Marcia can elaborate but, we were implementing a barcode system of the past few months and we found that there was some inventory mismatch, which is how we found that some product was not being used and some product were used more and that’s where we discovered the situation.

So, obviously our protection capacity has grown multiple times over the past two years and this is way we are implementing the bar-coding system and this is where we found the problem. So, as we said, we voluntarily reach out to the customers and they are all now happy about us reaching out to them proactively and each have been gradually resoled.

Colin Rusch

So just that I understand that this is not an actual defect with the product or the manufacturing process, it was really about an inventory management system.

James Tu

You can say that, if the manufacturing process glitch, it's not about as we said, has nothing to do with safety or performance of the product.

Colin Rusch

Okay. Perfect, I think that’s it. I'll take the rest of it offline. Thanks so much.

James Tu

Thanks Colin.

Operator

And our next question comes from Amit Dayal from Rodman and Renshaw.

Amit Dayal

Thank you good morning James, Marcia.

James Tu

Good morning, Amit.

Amit Dayal

Hi, just a follow-up on this return product situation, I may have missed it. I apologize if I did. This looks like a one-time event is that correct?

James Tu

Yes, it’s very much a one-time event. As I've said in the script that couple things actually came together in the quarter and we were really -- as we have said and I've said in the past that we are really elaborating the whole not just leadership, the whole company’s execution capability over the past few months and we found some problems and we tried to adjust them as quickly as possible.

Really if you look at the fundamental side of our business, the growth momentum, the addressable market side, none of that has changed, everything actually has gotten better, but there are issues that as we grow, we did make some mistakes and the fact that we had to rectify these errors as they came along.

Amit Dayal

Understood. Thank you. And just trying to dig into the second quarter results relative to guidance, is it that we had the contracts in place to meet the guidance, but we may have that issues in deployment or fulfillment and how should we look at what has transpired?

James Tu

Yes, I think with the previous requirement we were -- which is high level, a pretty high level inventory requirement for the distributor to be exclusive with us.

We have to -- we were expecting more sales because just to feel the inventory minimum level, but we don’t think that is clinical way to develop a stable and steady military business going forward. So took the step to renegotiate with the distributor.

So in another words Amit, it’s a pretty simple math, we're currently selling them a fixed number of military interactive product and we're hoping that we should supply more and more higher than that number.

So their inventory will be coming down. So we are not subject to -- I'll just speak exclusive relationship with the distributor and held them move the inventory factor.

Amit Dayal

Right, so just to follow up on that, I guess the way to look at it is you are previously dealing exclusively with this distributor for military sales and now you potentially could work with other distributors who have relationships into the military?

James Tu

Well that’s a possibility, but the key thing is that we have to help them remove the -- reduce the inventory level so both sides feel better.

Amit Dayal

Right, understood and your comments around some of the commercial opportunities and contracts you have won especially with this large national wholesaler I guess, what’s the time transfer deployment? Is it order to deploy limited number of stores initially or is it a full time track for the 600 stores.

James Tu

Yeah, as we mentioned, as I talked about, we already got the initial orders obviously. These institutions are large institutions. So, we do expect them to take a few quarters or even the longer to deploy our product in all their stores or facilities, but I don’t expect this to be three, five year type of projects, but it will be over a certain number of quarters.

Amit Dayal

Wow, that’s great. I think that's all I have James. I will follow up with you after this. Thank you.

James Tu

Thank you, Amit.

Operator

Our next question comes from Mark Miller from Benchmark.

Mark Miller

Just wondering with the expansion of your sales team and the SG&A reporting this quarter, are we still or have we moved beyond a breakeven revenue level of $14 million to $15 million.

James Tu

We are probably a little bit higher than that now. Obviously we are expecting commercial sales to grow and at some point if it is not growing as fast as we like, then we’d like to see them -- we have to look at our expenses and slowdown a little bit on the expansion of the sales force. By this point we are moving forward in anticipation of continuing incremental commercial sales growth.

Marcia Miller

I would add that those $15 million breakeven had a higher component of military sales than the current than our current though is based on the change that we made with our distributor contract and as we said, when we changed the mix, the margin changes as well. So that’s the piece of it also.

Mark Miller

Great. Thank you.

James Tu

Thanks Mark.

Operator

Our next question comes from Nate Mitchell from FBR.

Nate Mitchell

Hi, thanks for taking my question this is Nate in for Carter. Just was wondering if you could give us an update on the rollout with cause, how is it going and any additional details you can provide there?

James Tu

Yeah, we haven’t got our next phase. We have retrofit the first about 20 stores. We have not got our first the next phase of the orders, but we believe that on a long term basis, they are still going to be using our product. We don’t have the latest update on the next shipment.

Nate Mitchell

Great. Thank you and then just one more, the new warehouse customer if you could compare or contrast it with cause, is it a similar type of rollout.

James Tu

It is very different in terms of the facilities, the course are for the stores, part of the stores. For this healthcare service company, it’s for their distribution facilities. We're working on the first four facilities, but they love our products and we expect the rollout to continue and probably accelerate in the next quarter or two.

Nate Mitchell

Great. Thank you.

James Tu

Thanks Nate.

Operator

And our next question comes from Craig Irwin from ROTH Capital Partners.

Craig Irwin

Hi, good morning and thank you for taking my question James.

James Tu

Good morning.

Craig Irwin

So, James, you’ve got a nice cash cushion I guess sitting on more than $25 million in cash, can you say whether or not you would consider strategic options may be acquisitions of adjacent product lines or companies that could be synergistic with what your sales force is doing.

And can you may be describe how you prioritize the use of your cash over the next couple of quarter, whether or not getting back to breakeven is your number one priority or if may be you are still prioritizing revenue growth over cash preservation.

James Tu

Good questions. So the first one is the potential M&A target. We actually look at potential M&A target pretty much all the time. We just haven't pulled on anything yet.

I think that the point is that we'll be running in such an infancy stage of adoption for the enterprise market and we just see a lot of demand out there and we're leading the side by our sales force as I've said that in the past, these customers again we only reach out to the market accounts.

These are inevitably large companies that will take time to make decision, but also rollout the product, but I think incrementally quarter-over-quarter we are going to start seeing these accounts start to held up and contribute to growth.

So that’s our top priority, but if they are impactful technologies we could incorporate into our sales force process and we're definitely looking at that, but that’s just not out top priorities.

But to your question we are, we have been looking at technologies. I cannot say that we will, we will not buy a company, a technology to incorporate in the near term because we look at them all the time. We just haven’t found really exciting ones yet.

The second question is about the cash use. At this point, I would say that we are still looking at growing the company, growing our brand. We have got pretty exciting and successful progress in these verticals that we focus on and we mentioned about that healthcare of K-12 higher add retail.

And so we’re continuing to deploy our sales force and expand our brand building effort in these verticals. Again as I mentioned earlier, if our sales growth is not there or not strong enough, we might need to look at our expansion pace and slow down a little bit if that’s the case.

But at this point, we’re expecting incremental growth on commercial sales. This is the time to really own the market in a way because the markets are open up and that’s what the investors expect us to do, to grow the company.

Craig Irwin

Excellent. Thank you for that. So my question, my second question relates to the military C&I is a great market, it's a huge market, but you've shown the ability to make good money of sales of tubular LED products to military.

There is another competitor out there making a lot of noise about intention to participate in this market. Do you still expect to retain all of the tubular LED sales to the Navy or would you now may be consider it a positive outcome to see Energy Focus retain a large share of the sales of tubular LED products to Navy and revenue to be at a higher run rate then what we’ve seen over the last couple quarters? Would you see that as a positive outcome?

James Tu

Let me try to get to your question and you let me know if I answer your question. As we mentioned in the press release, our penetration rates with the U.S. Navy fleet is now at 35% and the sailors and the mangers at the ships, they love our product.

To get through the approval process, testing and approval process, to get the product into the Navy ship is a very lengthy one and that is showing when we have 35% market share penetration rate. I just couldn’t see. Again I’m not going to predict that there is now competitor, we can never be sure of that.

But I think the economics of having for the new competitor to come in and compete with Energy Focus is just not appealing. We just again I think as we indicated, there are some noises I think about having about new competition coming into our space. We just haven’t seen it. We just have not seen it.

And we continue to as we mentioned to expand our aggressive efforts, our business development professionals are on shipyard all the time. So, again I just don’t see competition coming in and for the Navy to actually adopt a different product at the stage of the penetration.

Now recovery sales run rate, as I've said, we strategically made the decision to start take our military sales that addressable market is still the same, it's still there.

In fact if you look back two years ago versus now when we have dramatically higher penetration rate of the market, our positioning is even better than two years ago.

Now the key here is you get $10 million out of the quarter or $5 million a quarter, you will get $10 million a quarter for three years or $5 million a quarter for six years. I think from protection, efficiency standpoint and stability of quarterly financials we would like to stay at a lower number, but it will be a much more sustainable level.

Craig Irwin

Thanks again for taking my questions.

James Tu

Thanks Craig.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we’ll take our next question from [Ken Kiora] a Private Investor.

Unidentified Analyst

Good morning or good afternoon, excuse me. I’d like to focus in on the commercial side, I see that we've got a lot of contact that have been made and trying to understand what is the size of the contract and as things like under that contract there were subset of orders.

What is the average size of the contract? What is the average dollar size of each order and what’s the average amount of orders to fill the contract over what period of time?

James Tu

Hi, Ken we actually don’t -- typically don’t get contracts with the amount of contract last year when we started working with the Cleveland Clinic, that was a contract they have specified that they like buy 250,000 tubular LEDs from us in that contract, but typically most of the enterprises we work with, they started by installing our products in a few facilities after a lengthy evaluation obviously.

But once you pass that testing and validation process, we get the first orders to retrofit some stores or some facilities. So there is no, there is usually not a contract but continuing orders to hopefully retrofit all their facilities.

Unidentified Analyst

I see and one quick last question is what do you feel is your capacity now see it from in a year from now and what is your ideal capacity without sacrificing delivery time or margin?

James Tu

Well, we have multiple product lines. Some of the product lines are manufactured or assembled here in Ohio. Some of them are made in Asia. So, we have pretty handful capacities from the whole supply chain at this point.

I don’t see capacity constrains as a factor for our growth at this point because over the past year and year and half, we have really build up a very strong supply chain with very strong component and past manufactures in Asia and even in the United Sates. So I don’t see capacity constraint as an issue for us at this point.

Unidentified Analyst

What do you think that capacity level is?

James Tu

At least three fold, quadruple where we are and with…

Unidentified Analyst

Thank you.

James Tu

Thank you.

Operator

And it appears there are no further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the conference back over to Mr. James Tu for any closing remarks.

James Tu

Thank you very much for your time again and interest and we look forward to talking to you in a quarter’s time. Thank you. Have a good day.

Operator

And that will conclude today’s conference. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

FUNMAN

08/12/17 1:31 PM

#1862 RE: Jld3294 #1753

EFOI...Earnings Call Transcript...I may get back in.

They seem to be making some solid progress. They're not just a military vendor anymore.

If the PPS drops some more, I may consider getting back in. This is the first time in over 3 years that I have said this seriously.

Energy Focus' (EFOI) CEO Theodore Tewksbury on Q2 2017 Results - Earnings Call Transcript


Energy Focus, Inc. (NASDAQ:EFOI)

Q2 2017 Earnings Conference Call

August 09, 2017, 11:00 ET

Executives

Theodore Tewksbury - Chairman of Board, CEO & President

Michael Port - CFO, Secretary & Controller

Analysts

Craig Irwin - Roth Capital Partners

Mark Miller - The Benchmark Company

Carter Driscoll - FBR Capital Markets

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, good day and welcome to the Energy Focus Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Michael Port, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Michael Port

Thank you, operator. Good morning and thank you for joining us for Energy Focus' Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. Today, Ted Tewksbury, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President and I will report on our results for the quarter. The news release and our quarterly report filed on Form 10-Q have been posted to our website under the investor section. As a reminder, today's discussion will include forward-looking statements including predictions, expectations, estimates or other information that might be considered forward-looking. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties and our actual results may differ materially from these statements. We encourage you to review our most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including our 10-K and 10-Qs for a complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock.

We are not obligating ourselves to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements, in light of new information or future events. I'd like to point out that our prepared remarks this morning includes non-generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP measures to supplement our discussion of the impact of our restructuring costs on our GAAP operating results. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures can be found in this morning's press release. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Ted.

Theodore Tewksbury

Thanks, Michael. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining the call today. For the benefit of anyone on the call, who may be new to the story, I'd like to begin with a brief recap of the big picture. Our mission here at Energy Focus is to enable our customers to run their facilities with greater energy efficiency, comfort and wellness or maximizing the functionality of their existing lighting infrastructure. Our vision is to be the leader in smart LED retrofit solutions. Our strategy is first to grow sales with an experienced energy-focused trained network of agents and channel partners. Second to defend our military business, while diversifying into the much larger, commercial and industrial market. And third to expand our product portfolio to higher value lighting solutions, incorporating controls, sensors and wireless connectivity.

I'll begin today with a summary of our financial results for the quarter, followed by some color on our end-markets and then provide a progress update on the turnaround initiatives we announced in February. Net revenue for the second quarter of 2017 came in at $6 million, up 46% sequentially. Gross profit of 25%, increased 12 percentage points over Q1. Thanks to our cost reduction initiatives; operating expenses excluding restructuring charges fell to $3.5 million. The lowest level in 10 consecutive quarters. As a result, cash consumption decreased $200,000 sequentially to $1.5 million, the lowest level in 6 consecutive quarters and at the end of the second quarter with a cash balance of $13.5 million. In addition, we reduced inventory by $1 million quarter-over-quarter to $13.2 million. Our continuing efforts to diversify and grow our business in $13 billion commercial and industrial markets are showing encouraging results. Q2 commercial revenue grew 68% sequentially to $5.2 million, the highest level in 6 consecutive quarters. Commercial and industrial now represents 86% of our total revenue versus 46% in the same quarter, a year ago. We are seeing solid demand from the healthcare and education sectors, each of which represented approximately 40% of our commercial revenue in Q2. Customers in these markets have demanding lighting requirements and choose Energy Focus products, because of our highest quality, near zero flicker and long life time as guaranteed by a 10-year warranty. Among other projects, our products we used to retrofit at VA hospital in Puerto Rico and multiple schools through our energy service company partners.

Before I turn my intention to our military business, I thought it would be helpful to clarify the components of our military market. We currently participate in 3 distinct military applications. First, we have the Tubular LEDs or TLEDs for retrofitting existing ships. Second, our military fixtures principally for new ship construction and third, our TLEDs for military base retrofits. With respect to TLEDs for ship retrofits, Energy Focus is the undisputed leader in this category. Our products were built and qualified to the Navy specifications and we have shipped approximately half of a million LED tubes to them over the past 5 years without a single defect. Energy Focus TLEDs are installed on all 185 ships in the US Navy surface fleet. Other companies can talk about quality, but Energy Focus' military tough TLEDs are the only ones that have been proven over time, under the harshest conditions at sea.

We were the first company to assemble Buy American Act or BAA compliant TLEDs in the United States, which we have been doing in our Ohio factory since 2012. We enjoy a rare sole supplier status [indiscernible] through the fourth quarter of 2016, achieving nearly 50% penetration of the Navy's available sockets. Not surprisingly, our leadership and success has attracted followers. Since the fourth quarter of 2016, we have seen 2 new competitors entering the market, one receiving qualification late in the fourth quarter of 2016 and one receiving qualification in the second quarter of 2017. Market demand for TLEDs through the US Navy bid system increased by 55% in the first half of 2017, when compared to the first half of 2016. Of this demand approximately 50% was awarded to our distribution partner, Atlantic Diving Supply or ADS and was satisfied through their existing inventory of Energy Focus products. At this time, the only outstanding bid still to be awarded through the U.S. Navy bid section was issued in early June of 2017 for less than 3,000 TLEDs. To our knowledge, no other significant bids have been issued since June to satisfy the roughly $50 million remaining market for U.S. Navy retrofit tubes.

In regard to military fixtures as previously disclosed, we obtained qualification in the third quarter of 2016 for our 2-foot fixture. Since then, there have been 2 bids for fixtures issued and awarded for new ship construction, including the USS Fort Lauderdale or LPD. We successfully competed against the incumbent, a private company with 70 years of experience in new ship construction and one approximately have of the total awards. We are encouraged by our early success in fixtures, the new ship constructions and feel that the quality and reputation of our military TLEDs will open up additional opportunities, in what we believe to be a $25 million 5-year total available market. Turning to military base TLED retrofits, we have had several notable wins to-date, including an installation that we announced last quarter. We have only scratched the surface of this $165 million market. Our prior direct sales model made it difficult for us to access these opportunities, many of which rely on existing relationships between the military bases and sales agencies or the network of - or other energy service companies. We believe that our transition to a nationwide network of sales representatives and agents will enable us to drive greater sales in the military base market. Overall, our military sales continue to be weak, accounting for 14% of our second quarter net revenues, but in line with our expectations.

While we're optimistic about our military opportunities, we don't believe that in the short term, our military sales will return to their pre-2016 level, when we were the only qualified provider of TLEDs to U.S. Navy and the available market was 4 times that it is today. Forecasting future military sales is a challenging proposition due to our lack of control of the competitor's pricing, U.S. Department of Defense budgeting, uncertainties in our ability to successfully penetrate military bases with our new sales agencies and we have the yearlong cycle between the award of bids and the delivery of products for new ship construction. I'm confident, however that we have the right people and the right products to pursue these in military opportunities.

Let me now provide an update on our turnaround initiatives. On the cost reduction front, the actions we have taken are expected to reduce operating expenses by $8 million year-over-year and to be sufficient to achieve breakeven at a revenue level of approximately $10 million, a quarter. With expenses under control, the exact timing and magnitude of the transition to profitability now depends on top line growth, which hinges on sales in the short term and having a predictable and differentiated flow of new product introductions over the long term.

Let me comment briefly on each of these priorities. In sales we are making rapid progress in transforming from a small team of direct sales people to a nationwide network of agents and channel partners. The agency model is the key to expanding our geographical coverage and growing our revenue. The increase in sales resources will enable us to reach a much broader range of vertical markets, including commercial and industrial, healthcare, education, government, military, parking and exterior applications. Under the leadership of our new Senior VP of Sales, Larry Fallon, we signed and trained 9 top-tier sales agents in Q2. This adds an additional 72 outside sales people across the country, an effective eightfold increase since the beginning of the year. Geographically, we've made outstanding progress in key territories. The Northeast, from New Jersey to Maine is now 100% covered with 4 agents. Prior to Q2, we had no sales coverage in this territory at all. Given our focus on healthcare and the fact that this region has one of the highest concentrations of hospitals in the country, it's not surprising that we weren't achieving our sales potential. California is now 100% covered by 2 agents with a total of 31 outside sales professionals. Texas and Alabama each have an agent under contract and trained. In the Midwest, we've landed the region's largest electrical and lighting agent, Hawkins Sales with 9 outside sales professionals strategically located around the state.

Energy Focus' products have been enthusiastically embraced by the agencies who are seizing the opportunity to fill unmet customer needs with a premium quality TLED family. They have already identified multiple opportunities that are new to Energy Focus and our sales pipeline and quoting activity are growing. We expect to hire and train a total of 30 sales agents by the end of 2017, which will give us complete coverage of the United States. So while the first wave of growth will come from increased sales of products we already have, the next wave will come from new products. In Q2, we completely overhauled and reformulated our new product road map, killing undifferentiated products and refocusing resources on game changers that are aligned with our mission of smart retrofit solutions. Our objective is that every product we introduce will be a world's first or a world's best.

A great example is our new RedCap Emergency Battery Backup tube. RedCap turns any existing fluorescent or LED tube socket into an emergency battery backup that provides 90 minutes of illumination in case of a power outage. Current implementations require installation of a bolt-on battery pack with a tangle of wires above the ceiling. RedCap makes installing an emergency backup battery as easy as changing a light bulb. RedCap is a new to the world product that defines an entirely new category. Energy Focus demonstrated RedCap as well as other product innovations at the 2017 Lightfair show in May. As written by LEDs Magazine, emergency lighting was a surprisingly hot topic at LFI. Energy Focus had a crowd lined up to see its RedCap LED tube product with built in backup capability. That product won an LEDs Magazine Sapphire Award earlier in the year. So it's an exciting time to be at Energy Focus. The changes happening here are creating enormous excitement and attracting the best people in the lighting industry.

As with any turnaround, Energy Focus has the potential to deliver outsize returns over the long term. However, in order to get there from the challenging initial conditions the company found itself in at the end of 2016, we have had to completely rebuild our sales structure and new product pipeline. And of course, I'm sure you're all wondering how long it will take to do that. At a high level, it comes down to product development and sales cycle times that are characteristic of our industry. Typical product development times from definition to design, test, UL and other certifications to market launch typically range from 6 months for a derivative product to 20 months for a breakthrough product like RedCap. Sales cycles on the other hand, from initial customer quote to revenue recognition can take another 8 to 12 months. In addition, it will take through the end of this year to complete the build out of our sales agency network. So putting it all together, we're looking at 3 phases. In 2017, revenue will be driven primarily by sales of existing products through our existing direct sales channels. In 2018, we expect to see a significant expansion and sales of existing products plus soon to be introduced new products such as RedCap through the agencies. And then, in 2019, we anticipate the layering on of additional revenue streams from newly defined products that are just entering development now.

We frequently get asked how we intend to communicate with investors between earnings calls. So let me address our policy. In the past, this company has had a tendency to issue press releases that had limited potential for near term impact. For example, RedCap was first announced back in May 2015. I don't think that was particularly helpful to our investors, but I'm sure it was helpful to our competitors. And as you know, there were also a number of design wins announced that didn't result in a material impact to our financial results. So we're not going to do that anymore. Instead, we are limiting our press releases to substantive items that will be impactful to the company in the near term. This includes new product launches, exceptionally large or notable design wins, major partnerships or technology agreements, conferences and trade shows we're attending and awards.

Since we're not providing guidance at this time, other updates can be communicated more effectively in the quarterly earnings calls. Additionally, now that we formulated our strategy, we plan to attend more investor conferences to keep shareholders informed and evangelize our story to new investors. And of course, we can always be reached by emailing or calling our investor relations department.

So in summary, Q2 was the quarter of solid execution. All of our key financial metrics, revenue, gross margin, operating expenses, cash burn and inventory are moving in the right direction. We made significant strides in building out our nationwide network of sales agents and channel partners, greatly expanding our geographical coverage and customer reach. In addition, we overhauled our new product pipeline to provide a long term revenue growth engine.

While this is only the first quarter of a multi-quarter turnaround, I am confident that this level of consistent and disciplined execution quarter after quarter will enable us to return the company to sustained, profitable revenue growth in 2018 and beyond. I'd like to conclude by thanking our incredible employees who have embraced the company's transformation and use creativity, passion and drive are the keys to our success. I'd also like to thank our shareholders for their continued support and patience as we turn this company around. With that, I'll turn it back to Michael to discuss our financial results in more detail.

Michael Port

Thank you, Ted. First, our second quarter results. Total net sales for the quarter were $6 million, down 16% compared to the second quarter of 2016. Net sales of our commercial products increased 57% compared to the second quarter of 2016 as we completed various projects through our ESCO partners and experienced overall increased demand. As a reminder, our commercial revenue tends to be lumpy due to the long design cycles, uncertain timing of customer orders and construction and renovation schedules. Our second quarter commercial revenue of $5.2 million extends the trend in the increase of commercial sales and is the highest level in 6 consecutive quarters.

Net sales of our military maritime products decreased 78% primarily due to our distributors' ability to satisfy the US Navy's current demand from their existing inventory. As you may recall, we fulfilled the final contractually required stocking order to our distributor in December 2016 and the contract expired in March, 2017. For the quarter, sales of commercial products comprised 86% of net sales while sales of military maritime products represented 14% of net sales. This compares to a second quarter 2016 product mix of 46% and 54% for commercial and military maritime sales respectively.

Our second quarter 2017 gross margin was 25%, a decline of 10 percentage points from the second quarter of 2016. The overall decline in gross margin percentage is primarily the result of lower volumes which unfavorably impacted our manufacturing and overhead absorption and product mix as the military maritime products sold in 2016 generally had a higher standard gross margin than our 2017 military maritime standard gross margins. Additionally, our second quarter 2017 gross margins were impacted by the higher cost of inventory, which was ordered in late 2016 and early 2017 to satisfy anticipated demand, which did not materialize. Based on our current anticipated demand, we expect to deplete this higher cost inventory during the remainder of 2017 and replace it with lower cost inventory due to our product reengineering efforts and manufacturing cost component price reductions.

I'd like to remind you that during the second quarter of 2016, we recorded an adjustment to reduce revenue by $814,000 and cost of goods sold by to $221,000 to reflect the return of products sold during the fourth quarter of 2015 [Technical Difficulty] second quarter 2017 total operating expenses were $4.6 million, which included a restructuring charge of $1.1 million. This compares to total operating expenses of $6.4 million for the second quarter of 2016. The restructuring charge of $1.1 million consist of approximately $900,000 in facilities costs related to the closure of our former New York, New York and Arlington, Virginia leased offices; $100,000 in severance and related benefits; and $100,000 and other restructuring costs including the writing off of fixed assets and prepaid expenses. While we do not anticipate any further major restructuring activities in the near term, we expect to incur an additional $100,000 in additional restructuring charges over the life of the remaining lease obligations, which extend to June 2021.

Excluding the 2017 restructuring charges of $1.1 million, our quarter-over-quarter operating expenses decreased by $2.9 million. I would also like to point out that excluding the $1.1 million restructuring charge, our second quarter 2017 operating expenses of $3.5 million represents the lowest operating expense level since the fourth quarter of 2014. Due to the operating loss incurred in the quarter and after the application of the annual limitation under Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code, we recorded no provision for U.S. federal income tax and had a full valuation allowance recorded against our deferred tax assets.

The net loss for the quarter was $3.1 million or $0.26 per share. However, if we exclude the restructuring charges, our net loss for the second quarter of 2017 would have been $2.1 million or $0.17 per share. This compares to a net loss of $3.9 million or $0.34 per share in the prior year's second quarter. Product return I discussed earlier increased the second quarter 2016 loss by $590,000.

I'll now turn my attention to the first 6 months of 2017. Our total net sales for the first 6 months of 2017 were $10.1 million, down 35% compared to the first 6 months of 2016. Net sales of our commercial products increased 5% compared to the first 6 months of 2016 while our net sales of military maritime products decreased 76% primarily due to the expiration of our distribution agreement as I discussed previously. For the first 6 months, sales of commercial products comprised 82% of net sales while sales of military maritime products represented 18% of net sales. This compares to the first half 2016 product mix of 51% and 49% for commercial and military maritime sales respectively.

Our gross margin for the first 6 months of 2017 was 20%, a decline of 16 points from the first 6 months of 2016. As I indicated earlier, the overall decline in gross margin percentage is primarily the result of lower volumes which unfavorably impacted our manufacturing and overhead absorption and product mix as the military maritime products sold in 2016 generally had a higher standard gross margins than our 2017 military maritime standard gross margins. Again, our first half 2016 sales and margins reflect the impact of the return discussed previously.

Our first half 2017 total operating expenses were $9.7 million, which includes a restructuring charge of $1.7 million. This compares to total operating expenses of $11.6 million for the first half of 2016. The restructuring charge of $1.7 million consist of approximately $900,000 in facilities costs related to the closure of our former New York and Arlington leased offices, $700,000 in severance and related benefits and $100,000 in other restructuring costs. Excluding the 2017 restructuring charges of $1.7 million, our period-over-period operating expenses decreased by $3.6 million. For the reason I indicated previously during the first 6 months of 2017, we recorded no provision for U.S. federal income taxes. The net loss for the first 6 months of 2017 with $7.6 million or $0.65 per share. If we exclude the restructuring charges, our net loss for the second quarter of 2017 would have been $5.9 million or $0.50 per share, which is comparable to our net loss of $5.9 million or $0.51 per share for the first 6 months of 2016. Again, our first half 2016 net income was negatively impacted by the sales return discussed previously.

At this time, I'd like to address our progress against our previously stated goal of reducing operating costs by an estimated $10 million from 2016 levels. The intent of our restructuring strategy was to maximize operating cost reductions without sacrificing either our new product pipeline or potential long term revenue growth. During the second quarter of 2017, the first full quarter of our restructuring activity, we refined our strategy and cost saving estimates and are now on track for a total cost reduction of approximately $8 million from 2016 levels.

Throughout the remainder of the year, we will continue to balance our goal of maximizing operating cost savings against opportunities to drive future growth. With the change in product mix and our 2017 restructuring activities, Energy Focus is a much different company today than it was in 2016. While comparisons of 2017 to 2016 are helpful, I believe that it is also important to point out some sequential quarter-over-quarter comparisons. From the first quarter of 2017 to the second quarter of 2017, our net sales increased 46% while our gross margins increased to 25% in the second quarter from 14% in the first quarter. The improvement in gross margin was due to the higher sales volume and our decision to accept strategic sales opportunities to some excess inventory items we had reserved in 2016 in accordance with our accounting policies and GAAP.

Our sequential quarter-over-quarter operating expenses excluding restructuring charges, decreased from $4.4 million to $3.5 million, a 20% decrease. Again, please remember that our restructuring initiatives were implemented in the middle of the first quarter. So the second quarter of 2017 is the first full quarter of operating cost savings. Unless we make the strategic decision to adjust operating cost spending to capture new growth opportunities as I discussed earlier, we anticipate our quarterly operating expenses for the remainder of 2017 to approximate second quarter spending.

With regard to the balance sheet, cash decreased approximately $1.5 million during the second quarter to $13.5 million at June 30, 2017. Cash used in operating expenses of $1.5 million was the lowest operational cash consumption in 6 consecutive quarters. The decrease in cash was primarily due to the net loss of $3.1 million and an increase in accounts receivable of approximately $900,000 partially offset by a decrease in inventory of approximately $1 million and an increase in accounts payable of approximately $1.5 million. Our accounts receivable balance was $3.5 million at June 30, 2017 compared to $2.6 million at March 31, 2017, the increase due to the timing of our second quarter sales activity. Our accounts payable balance was $3.2 million at June 30, 2017 compared to $1.7 million at March 31, 2017, the increase principally due to the timing of vendor payments for inventory purchased in the second quarter.

As Ted indicated, we've made great strides in our goal to return the company to sustained profitable revenue growth in 2018 and beyond. However, given the continuing quarterly volatility in military maritime sales and the timing uncertainty in commercial sales growth, it is challenging for us to provide quarterly revenue guidance at this time. Once our revenue achieves a more predictable growth rate, we will provide further guidance. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for questions.

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And first we'll go to Craig Irwin with Roth Capital Partners.

Craig Irwin

Congratulations on that nice revenue rebound. So Ted, I wanted to ask a few questions about your commercial sales in the quarter, See if maybe you could give us additional color on the character of the revenue. Can you maybe share with us, the number of deliveries over 50,000 or over 100,000 to make up that pretty respectable number that you posted, $5.2 million. And as we look longer term, the military business is a very different business than the commercial business, if you could talk a little bit about the margin profile of commercial and where you think things could settle out as volumes continue to increase?

Theodore Tewksbury

To your first question, as far as providing more granularity on the commercial sales, we don't generally do that, it's quite fragmented and I'm not sure if it will be particularly useful information. What I can reiterate is what I said in the script, which is that approximately 40% of the commercial sales came from healthcare opportunities and those tend to be fairly large opportunities, not by 100s of 1000s of dollars in revenue. Similarly, with the schools, I mentioned a couple of schools, those generally go through our ESCO partners, but I don't want to provide any more granularity beyond what I provided in the prepared remarks. Now as far as the margin profile is concerned, there's 2 trends that are happening here.

First of all you've got military margins that historically have been much higher than our average, but those are starting to come down now due to the increased competition that we're seeing. Unfortunately, our competitors have not done any favors as far as fostering gross margins in that market. Pricing basically got cut in half. So we're seeing military margins coming down and at the same time, over time, you're going to start seeing our commercial gross margins going up really for two reasons, one being that we're paying a lot of attention to reducing our cost of goods sold, but more importantly, because we're increasing the value of our commercial products.

I mean products like RedCap is a unique new to the world product that nobody else in the world has today. Now we won't be able to enjoy that advantage forever and that's why we're loading up the pipeline with more high value-added lighting solutions and as we start to transition to connected lighting solutions that have occupancy sensors and daylight harvesting and other connected attributes, that will increase our value further. So to answer your question, the goal that I've got in my mind is 35% to 40% over the long haul and hopefully being the semiconductor guy, I'm used to seeing much higher margins and hopefully we can do that.

Craig Irwin

Great, that's really good to hear. So if we could talk a little bit about the past. the EBITDA breakeven. So I know when you originally put together the plan, the company was in a significant period of transition and visibility around revenues never really all that high in the lighting markets. Can you maybe comment on whether or not there are additional actions that you might take internally that could pull that forward or maybe bring the quarterly revenue breakeven down or if you're comfortable with the plan you've implemented and see this as something that's a reasonable match for what you're anticipating as far as near term demand and where you expect to execute to?

Theodore Tewksbury

Yes, there's really two components to this. First was our announcement of the $10 million year-over-year cost reduction plan and we put out the $10 million goal back - backed them as a company for 2 months and I had been CEO for about a week. We're currently tracking to $8 million out of that $10 million, which is - to put that in perspective, that's a 30% reduction in operating expenses year-over-year, which is incredibly impressive for a company of our size, but more important than hitting the exact number is making sure that we dial in the right number to balance short term profitability with longer term revenue growth and that longer term revenue growth of course depends on making sure that we've got a robust pipeline of new products and those products get introduced on time.

So now that I've had a full quarter of - well, we as a company have had a full quarter of the restructuring under our belts and we've completely reorganized sales and reformulated the new product pipeline, we're able to refine the model and strike the optimal balance between short term profitability and long term growth. And so right now, what we could tell you for certain is that year-over-year reduction is going to be somewhere between $8 million and $10 million, probably the optimal was closer to $8 million based on the information I have today, which is much better than the information that I had when we put the original goal out there, but let me emphasize that $10 million is still our goal and we're going to be sharpening our pencils and doing everything we can between now and the end of the year to get as close as we can to that number.

Now, as far as breakeven is concerned, now that we've reduced our costs and we're controlling our expenses very vigorously, now the return to profitability depends on the top line and as you know, that's where historically this company has been challenged in getting accuracy on the forecast largely because the funnel of opportunities has been relatively small and so, we get very lumpy revenue. Typically - just to give you some insight, typically our backlog coverage at the beginning of the quarter is only about 20% of revenue for the quarter - actually less than 20%, somewhere between 10% and 20%, that's increasing, but that doesn't give us a lot of visibility into the quarter.

So we've succeeded in reducing our breakeven revenue to $10 million, we don't know exactly when revenue is going to cross that threshold and so going forward, I prefer to talk in terms of breakeven revenue and how close we are to that and rather than try to nail down a specific time when we're going to reach that breakeven because that's really not important in the long term, what's important is striking the optimum in terms of our cost reductions and then getting that revenue growth moving, but I'll just add one, I know I'm going on too long on this question, but to add one more important point, which is as we bring on these sales agents, one of the main reasons for doing that is to increase the number of opportunities in our sales funnel, that's going to allow us to benefit from the law of large numbers, get more averaging and get better accuracy in our forecasting. And so, we'll keep you posted on how we're doing on - and hopefully be able to provide revenue guidance so you could track where we are relative to that $10 million breakeven revenue by the end of the year.

Craig Irwin

Great, thank you for that. Another question I wanted to ask is actually on the product road map. So when we talk to the lighting agencies and your competitors, Cleveland Clinics is a great example. We understand that there were - some of the biggest players in lighting in there competing for that job and Energy Focus won the job straight and even and the company's been recognized in the past for significant innovation, the Intellitube got big highlights at Lightfair a couple of years ago shortly after it was introduced. As we look at the current status of the market today, the one product in LED tubes that seem to be getting the most attention is the products with embedded controls in the last few inches.

I don't think these are big volume products yet, but a lot of the agencies we talk to say that they are mandated to include controls in a lot of the projects, particularly things like schools by the building codes and if they can just throw in the new tube that has the controls embedded in the end seems a lot of money since they don't have to change out the fixtures. It's a much more compelling product to the customers out there. Can you comment whether or not this is something you're working on? Do you have something that you're in trials with? Would you expect to be completing effectively versus the people that have introduced the products to date and are there any particular different functionalities should you see as increasing the value add in your 2 products that maybe will come out in the next year?

Theodore Tewksbury

The answer is absolutely yes Craig. Today, if you look at the company, we are known for quality, performance and lifetime. That's our value proposition and under performance, we have lowest flicker and many other attributes in terms of efficacy, THT other attributes. In the next year or 2, we will be known as the connected lighting solutions leader and when I say solutions, that's not just lamps, but also fixtures. The connected lighting trend is very real. It hasn't gotten a lot of traction yet, but it undoubtedly will and when I look at Energy Focus, our strength is retrofit. Today we're retrofitting lighting in this industry but if you look at IoT, the best way to get IoT including sensors, daylight harvesting, tunable color temperature as well as asset tracking, non-lighting related capabilities, the quickest way to get that into an existing building is through the lighting side.

You want to have the sensors and wireless nodes in every place in the building or you got people and assets and they have access to power. Well, what's ubiquitous and has access to power? Lighting side is. So this will happen, it is happening. We actually did have a connected lighting product in our portfolio. I sold it because I didn't think it was forward-looking enough. I didn't meet my criterion for being a world's first or a world's best. So I have reset that program and I assure you that when we do have the introduction of our first connected lighting product, it will be a game changer, but that is very much in our road map, so is tunable color temperature, daylight harvesting, task tuning, occupancy sensing, these are all important capabilities, but I'm not going to say more than that because as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, this company has had a tendency to get too far out of their skies and announce what they are doing to the benefit of competitors and I don't want to do that.

Operator

And moving on, we'll go to Mark Miller with The Benchmark Company.

Mark Miller

You mentioned I believe when there will be a hospital in Puerto Rico and some schools, were there any other wins during the quarter for you?

Theodore Tewksbury

Well, yes, many, many. To get to the price point, $2 million in commercial revenue, but I don't want to get into the minutia of rattling off the entire risk, but that gives you some general color on where the wins are coming from. Well I have certainly mentioned also in the prepared remarks, I don't think it's particularly helpful to give the investment community visibility of every win down to the $50,000 or $100,000 level every quarter. So what we will be doing is anything that's particularly large or noteworthy like Cleveland Clinic or a major retail chain, we'll certainly announce that, but we'll avoid getting into the weeds.

Mark Miller

You mentioned you were replacing higher cost inventory with lower cost inventory. Do you expect any inventory obsolescence causes in the quarters ahead?

Michael Port

We continue to evaluate that on a quarter basis and our policies - accounting policies and under GAAP. Frankly, if you go back and look at the history since 2015, we've taken some pretty healthy reserves because of our anticipated demand slowdown. I think as of right now, we're back on track and we won't be experiencing the excess inventory reserves that we have in the past over the rest of the quarter. We've slowed down our buying substantially and we have that under the control and we're working very diligently to make sure that we've got a process in place that matches up our inventory purchases much closer to our anticipated demand and when these items will ship to customers.

Mark Miller

You've done a good job on managing your cash over the first half of this year. Do you expect a similar cash drain or should that be reduced in the second half of the year?

Theodore Tewksbury

I think what principally drives our - there's 3 - couple of things that drive our cash consumption. The most significant one of course is that top line, the revenue and how much we can - how much more we're able to drive that and tied to that is the reduction in inventory and accounts receivable. So I think this quarter is fairly representative of Q1 and again, we'll be able to either generate cash or consume cash based on sort of how we're able to drive our top line.

Operator

Carter Driscoll with FBR Capital Markets has our next question.

Carter Driscoll

First question, just kind of following up, is there potentially any 0 cost inventory that you could flow through in future quarters?

Michael Port

So let my comments indicate that we made some strategic decisions. Again, we have to balance off all the equations and being able to move some of the inventory that we have reserved. Based on some of the inventory we have, we do have some that's fully reserved. I'm not going to get into the granularity as to how much that represents, but if you go to our 10-Q note 5 for the inventories, you'll notice we have a - as of June 30, we had about $5.3 million in inventory reserves for excess slow moving and some valuation reserves.

Carter Driscoll

Okay, that's helpful. Maybe Ted, of the military segments you're targeting, obviously give a little bit of color on the retrofit and what was your conditional domination of the Navy for that segment? Which of those kind of 3 that you've identified you think could contribute more to near term growth? Would it be the bases for Navy, just trying to get a sense of how you rank those in terms of a rebound in military business going forward?

Theodore Tewksbury

Well, going in reverse order, probably the one that's not going to be as much near term revenue would be the new ship fixtures because those cycle times tends to be very long as I pointed out depends on DoD budgets and from the time you win a bid to the time you actually ship the product can be up to a year. So that's going to be a longer term, probably 12 months plus kind of initiative. I think the wildcard in all of this is the bases - the base is the largest remaining opportunity at $165 million total available market and we've had some good initial successes. The problem as I pointed out is that we haven't had the right sales force. Now that we put the sales force in place, I'm very excited about that opportunity, but again, it's a wildcard because a lot of it depends on relationships that we haven't had in the past and that we're going to have to build, but I think that's a very promising avenue.

Now I think the third opportunity, which is the one that we've historically focused on is retrofitting of existing ships. That one, we don't have a lot of visibility into. As I mentioned, there's only one bid out there now for less than 3,000 tubes and there's still a good deal of inventory in our distributor - ADS. And so once that market comes back and once the inventory is exhausted at our distributor, I think that will continue to be a revenue generator for us, but to put that in perspective, we think there's only about $50 million remaining market there due to the excellent success we've had in the past. We've penetrated about 50% of that business and now the remainder is going to be shared between 3 competitors and the price is half of what it used to be. So looking at all 3, the one I'm most excited about is the base opportunity.

Carter Driscoll

And then in terms of all other channels - you've done since you've taken over, do you feel that this will help improve or reduce the amount of turns business you have in a particular quarter. Obviously you're still going to have a significant amount I would imagine for several quarters until you completely change out the product portfolio and develop the channels, but could we see increasing - I'm going to say backlog or conviction in the quarters ahead, could we reach 50% type of book to typical ship within a quarter over some time frame?

Theodore Tewksbury

I think that's unlikely to happen. It's just the nature of our business, it's a book and ship kind of business where we don't have a lot of visibility. So I'd be surprised if we ever saw backlog coverage at the beginning of the quarter growing an extra by 20% I'm hoping it will but what will happen is that we will have more certainty on the trends side of our business simply by virtue of the fact that we've got some more opportunities in the funnel. So I mean, think of it, it's just numbers.

Today if we had say 10 major opportunities, major being a few hundred thousand dollars or more in the funnel for the quarter and if 1 or 2 of those go away, well then that blows our forecast. If you got a 100 or 1,000 of those opportunities in the funnel and a few of them go away, they are likely to be offset by a few that pop up out of nowhere that you didn't forecast. And so what the agents are going to bring is just a massive increase in number of opportunities in the funnel. So that's going to make our revenue more predictable even though turns is going to remain on a high, those turns will be more predictable simply by virtue of the law of large numbers, more averaging going on.

Carter Driscoll

And then, I know it's been asked a bunch of times, let me see if I can ask this slightly different way, in terms of the commercial customer base, could you quantify just the total number of customers you think you're shipping to either in this quarter over say the trailing 6 months?

Theodore Tewksbury

You want to take a stab at that Michael?

Michael Port

I'd hate to guess because it is fairly lumpy. Again we get rather large orders in and then we ship some small ones. We can definitely come up with that data at some point, but it's not something that we particularly track.

Carter Driscoll

More than one few hundred thousand.

Michael Port

Yes, if that's something that you're interested in seeing, we can start reporting those numbers. I don't want get into the granularity of disclosing customers name and that sort of thing, but we can give you some aggregate numbers on the number of opportunities. I'm not sure it's very useful because we've got small opportunities too and we've got customers who are shipping 5 to 10 tubes and then we've got customers who are shipping 200,000 tubes.

Carter Driscoll

Just trying to get a sense of how many customers say might order in 1 quarter, go away for 1 quarter or 2 or come back just trying to maybe assess the change in that customer group from QtoQ, maybe that provides a little granularity since there's so many other things that are difficult in a book to ship business?

Michael Port

It's a good question Carter, let me go away and see if we can come back with a metric that will answer that question for you.

Carter Driscoll

And just last one if I may, on the healthcare side, so obviously Cleveland Clinic was a substantial win for you a while back. Prior administration was talking about the New York City - some of the large hospitals in this area, some of the other hospital change, could you maybe talk about progress there again without necessarily naming names. Something of a - if not a similar size of Cleveland Clinic, but maybe a major win that hurdles and/or kind of competitive environment that you have to overcome to get such a large win in that segment? Thank you.

Theodore Tewksbury

I think in general we are the tube of choice for hospital retrofits. Obviously we have very good references from Cleveland as well as some of the other well-known hospitals in the area here. The problem has simply been that we've lacked the sales coverage and we are working with virtually every notable hospital in the Ohio area here in the Midwest, but we just haven't had the coverage in Boston or San Diego or Florida or other areas where there are a lot of healthcare facilities. So we're already seeing an increase in quoting activity for - for other large hospitals as a result of our agents and net partners. [indiscernible] just to give some indication as I mentioned, of the $5.2 million that we did in commercial this quarter, 40% of it was healthcare. So it's significant.

Operator

And that will conclude today's conference. We'd like to thank everyone for their participation. You may now disconnect.