"Please provide some reasoning", there's no reasoning w this rabies infested beast. However, there are general ( very general ) patterns of bottoming ( ever flattening candles with doji like wicks ( upper and bottom )that VXX has previously shown, currently it is exhibiting those signs. That said, it has shown a similar look before and dropped further. I think with all the gaps below now filled, the general pattern showing true, and SP over bought on virtually every fractal, the chances of a pop are elevated, but that's just a guess.