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Replies to #74 on ETF Trading

C C

06/22/16 7:00 AM

#75 RE: C C #74

NG.....Chartz... News....Storage Expectations.....Futures Expectations....Chartz of usage



http://geckoicapital.com/expectations


Futures Expectations

http://www.barchart.com/futures/expirations.php


Natural Gas News

http://www.newsnow.co.uk/h/Industry+Sectors/Commodities/Energy/Natural+Gas

EIA Weekly Storage Forecasts....US Natural Gas Weather Forecast


http://www.natgasweather.com/

Celsius Energy ..... Forcasts of NG

http://celsiusenergy.blogspot.com/2016/01/click-for-full-week-1-details-click-for.html

Natural Gas Futures Prices




http://www.barchart.com/commodityfutures/Natural_Gas_Futures/NG






Energy NG roll over


http://www.unitedstatescommodityfunds.com/fund-details.php?fund=ung&page=fund-details

DGAZ roll info below.

DGAZ tracks three times the inverse of the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index Excess Return. For those complaining about the 3 times short ratio, you will see that yesterday the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index Excess Return was down almost exactly one-third of the drop in DGAZ, so the 3X correlation is in place.

GSCI roll date starts on the 5th business day of the month and lasts 5 days (Say March 7 to March 13 will be the roll days). DGAZ will be in the April nat gas futures contract until March 14th, when it will have completely rolled into the May contract. DGAZ has nothing to do with the current March futures contract that is trading over $6.

Source (UNG tracks the S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index Excess Return also, so these roll dates apply to DGAZ too): http://bit.ly/LwDPOs

VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN......DGAZ
Phone: 877-583-5624

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=DGAZ+Profile


GSCI roll period
http://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/securities/products-and-business-groups/products/gsci/roll-period.html




http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/spgsngp?countrycode=xx


NG....Annual Energy Outlook 2016 Early Release:
Annotated Summary of Two Cases


http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/pdf/0383er(2016).pdf


http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/index.cfm

As a result of growth in production, domestic production is soon expected to surpass domestic consumption of natural gas, and by 2018 the United States becomes a net exporter of natural gas for the first time since the 1950s. By 2040, net exports of natural gas reach 7.5 Tcf, which is 18% of total U.S. production.


Chartz of Nat Gaz movement






The real seasonals of natural gas
This is why it is not uncommon to see natural-gas price weakness begin to enter the market in June and price strength appear in December. The seasonal chart below illustrates this tendency clearly.



The fundamentals of natural gas in 2016
The chart below illustrates 2016 inventories in comparison to historical highs and lows for different times of year. Note also the cyclical trends in supply discussed previously.




http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-air-conditioning-makes-natural-gas-an-attractive-short-trade-2016-06-15?dist=markets


cc