yes. they have to. they said 4 at beginning of the year, down to 2, they have to at least do one otherwise the charade is all that clearer, well, we all know this market is a charade. rates should be at 1% already if not 1.5% but yet we are stuck at .25-.50%
what the fed doesn't realize is that ZIRP and QE has only benefited stock market, not actual economy, thus they need to jolt the markets by at least 2 rate hikes, get money moving around again. I believe in growing pains, the Fed apparently believes in coddling the markets like a newborn baby.
a rate hike in JUne would be awesome, Sept is probably 80% chance and 100% chance by December. either way, the markets are going to go down. its an election year.