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GrahaMate

03/25/16 4:31 AM

#41409 RE: GetRich1day #41406

You mean, voila +0.21%? :) Sure, 0.21 per year = aprox. 40%? not bad.
But i've got more interesting information.
As some of us may now, present share price shows, how much profit company will generate in future + inifniti. So here we got interesting point.

ATM investors wait for... hold your hats...

that SGLB would produce $32 000 000 all its life along! Thats quite pessimistic prediction, i suppose :)

According to some resources, only in 2017 AM industry will grow to $3 500 000 000 (3.5 bill.)

Let's make a suppose, that SGLB will take at least 1% of that industry (but we can expect more, regard to all our connections and partners and whole disruptivness if developed/-ing technolgy of IPQA (R)). So, only in 2017 sigma would recognize $35 000 000 as sales and recieve(let's say) 10% as revenue. Forecasting growth in the future for aprox. 10 years, we'll find that SGLB is able to earn (realisticly) $7mil in 2018, $10mil. in $2019... to 2026 we'll get at all $198mil. As net income. It's quite realistic calculation, if we assume that AM at one moment would became a competitor and finally replace conventional methods of production or would take 50% of the production industry. Add here terminal value of the company at, let's say, $515 000 000
(WACC = 9%, perpetual growth rate = 3%). And here we come with

$114/share with current amount of shares.

It's my assumptions to how much worth sigma.

And today it's valued just for $30 mil. It's fair value if one think, that it's amount of cash, that able to earn that company. But i think, it's able to earn much more, and even if my assumptions are HALF-TRUE, company worth at least $57, not $4,6.


P.S. there is 2014 presentation about current (2014) and future trends in metal AM industry. It's pleasure to recognize, that SIGMA is definetly inside that trend and on the crest of that wave.


Major Market Trends in Metal AM
• Standards development initiatives can
significantly impact demand in certain
applications
• Growing demand in serial production of
metal components
Technology Development Trends in
Metal AM
• Integrated Process Monitoring
• Parameter selectivity & control features,
powder coating and bed image
recognition, networking advancements for
multiple printer environments

http://www.smartechpublishing.com/images/uploads/general/Dunham_RAPID_2015_Metal_Additive_Manufacturing_Trends.pdf