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kiy

01/22/16 4:36 PM

#15485 RE: easycome92 #15484

SPY...not yet...I'm not looking past 1910 yet...need news to push price higher...Next week has a bunch of big name stocks reporting earnings...I think AAPL reports on Wednesday...?...

BULLs win the day...
Especially the last hour and the "BOUNCE" off 1890 was not short covering...that was BULLS buying...so anything can happen the next 3 days...
15 minute...Bulls win...pushed 15 minute CCI back into overbought territory...

30minute...CCI still wants down but the MFI suggests strength...but need to note the BULLS could not push 30 minute CCI back into overbought territory...so although impressive close near high of day...not as strong as may appear...news will impact the sentiment come monday...at least it isn't a 3 day weekend...

60minute...CCI wants to cycle down and Note the MFI suggest although BULLs won the last hour...MFI isn't impressed...

Daily...CCI bias is ...UP...although MFI isn't showing much participation.
Dollar is still too strong...
1890 and 1880 are significant support...1920 is interesting...centerline=1966=reversion to the mean...1960 is interesting...
It would be nice if Intraday Timeframes would cycle down and get on board the daily CCI bullish biased train...
Enjoy...

SPY daily...MFI here looks very good...

kiy

01/22/16 4:59 PM

#15486 RE: easycome92 #15484

easycome...tell me what you're trading...?...and how long have you been trading...?...I know that TICK post was not an eacy post to read...

60 minute chart...TVIX had good signals...you don't have to get the exact top...just have to understand...have a sense of overbought and ask the 60 minute chart what it thinks...
enjoy...

kiy

01/23/16 8:55 PM

#15490 RE: easycome92 #15484

TVIX...reflects the volatility of the S&P 500...so you want to read $SPX when it is overbought to time a position as bottom in TVIX...

Right now daily $SPX bias has turned UP from a very oversold level...
Intraday= the past 2 trading days $SPX has become somewhat overbought intraday and needs a little give back to better define this 2 day bounce.
15 minute
The second box down is a ratio comparing S&P and TVIX... "$SPX:TVIX"...when the line is pointing UP it means the S&P 500 is in charge...when the line is pointing down it means the TVIX is in charge...
TVIX is a mirror image of the the S&P 500
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p47437797069&a=442263999&r=1453599133984

15 minute $SPX...TVIX is a mirror image of the the S&P 500
The technical indicators on this chart are only for $SPX
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p44240207844&a=442263668&r=1453599306040

15 minute TVIX...the technical indicators on this chart are only for the TVIX...
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TVIX&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p64134830641&a=440975783&r=1453599470351

30 minute TVIX
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TVIX&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p27462831563&r=1453599622883

60 minute TVIX...
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TVIX&p=60&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&i=p07983808060&a=442062388&r=1453599704985

Daily TVIX...I put a "$SPX:TVIX" ratio on this chart...when the line points UP the $SPX and BULLs are in control...when the line points down TVIX and the BEARs are in control...
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=TVIX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&i=p29826833329&a=440956767&r=1453600262703

You can bookmark this post and the charts will update...



$SPX:VTIX ratio

kiy

01/24/16 10:30 PM

#15495 RE: easycome92 #15484

S&P at 1890 where would TVIX be?...depends on the sentiment based on over night trading and Monday's NEWS...
TVIX would be pushing around $9.40..but I'm guessing...could be higher...

kiy

01/25/16 3:41 PM

#15498 RE: easycome92 #15484

TVIX...this is interesting about some ETNs getting "premium pricing"...

http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2016/01/21/why-this-oil-etn-is-plunging-even-as-crude-prices-rise/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo

Traders may remember that a similar situation cropped up in the VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX) in 2012. Back then, the ETN stopped tracking its underlying index when it reached a pre-set limit of shares outstanding. Since creating and retiring shares is the grease with which arbitrageurs keep the wheels spinning, TVIX rose to a premium of as much as 89% before plunging violently after the issuing bank announced that it would reopen issuance.
http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2016/01/21/barclays-oil-etn-is-completely-disconnected-from-commoditys-price/
30 minute