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gdl

11/24/15 2:37 PM

#168273 RE: GuTA #168266

The FED has all but guaranteed a rate hike. Not only one rate hike but expect a total of 200 basis point move before 2016 ends.

I look for tried and true pressure on inflation and it's wages. The tight labor market is for real. the recent rise in wages is not an anomaly. The whole of 2015, despite the mixed messages and data points, shows a consumer spending on themselves like never before. Check out travel and restaurant segments of the economy and tell me they aren't doing very well. Demographic change is huge with the baby boomers retiring. The other factor that has hampered our readings is overseas slowdown. It will revamp just like ours did. If they accelerate in 2016 it will push us much higher and further in economic expansion.