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Replies to post #241 on MegaTrends (MEGA)
Pro-Life
10/04/15 6:14 PM
#242 RE: Pro-Life #241
This research focused on the rate of change for production. If, for example, the world produced 1 billion tons of a grain last year and this year produces 1.1 billion tons the rate of change is positive 10%. If the following year the world produces 1.2 billion tons, the rate of change is positive 9.1%. Production is indeed increasing, but the rate of increase has peaked. The year in which the rate of change peaks is the Peak Year. Of the 17 Agri-Commodities studied, 16 had Peak Years in the time frame 1985-2009. Production of those Agri-Commodities is rising, but the rate of increase is slowing. More on this next time. But, one final question: Is knowing that world is in the era of Peak Food of importance to investors? Apparently the answer is yes, as Agri-Equities are at a new high.