Primary would be we are starting 5 up. Alternate is ABC down 1820 (or the 1730 on that longterm chart).
It looks 50/50 to me but have to give weight to up since that was a 3waver down...so far...but that could change. But a 5waver up would be a lock (almost so the usual - or not!)
Really interesting area - and I was it would move out of it before I get into fall fun!